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BASKETBALL GURU

NBA PRA board • Tuesday, October 20, 2026 • 3 games

Generated 2026-10-18 07:40 PM EDT • first tip 3:00 PM ET

DK game lines 3/3 • DK PRA lines for 28 players • 0 rotation players OUT • grades: A+ ≥42 A ≥36 B+ ≥31 B ≥26 C ≥20

Simple or Detailed: Simple cards (the default) put the answer first -- a verdict, DraftKings' line vs our projection, and the reasons in plain words. Detailed cards show every number. The switch is at the top of the board, and your phone remembers your choice.

The headline is projected Points + Rebounds + Assists for the night he plays (a prop on a player who sits is voided). It is built bottom-up: projected minutes × what he produces per minute (both seasons, recent games weighted up). Then every team is made to add up: minutes to 240 plus a little overtime, and points to what DraftKings' spread and total say the team will score. When a starter is ruled out, his minutes and his share of the shots go to the players left -- the backups at his position first. The opponent counts through those team totals (pace, points, rebounds and assists it allows); there is no defense-vs-position adjustment, because in the 2025-26 backtest it added nothing.

DK line is DraftKings' actual PRA line, pulled free from ESPN for every player DK prices. The number next to it is the model's disagreement: projection minus line. MORE and LESS tags mark disagreements of 3+.

Be careful with the tags. Tested against 1,179 real DK lines from last season (mostly playoffs), DraftKings was more accurate than the model (off by 6.2 a player vs 6.5), and when the model disagreed by 3+ it was right only 49% of the time. So the percentages on this board lean on DK's line -- the model gets a 10% say -- and the tags are the model's opinion, graded every night on the scorecard. Trust them once the scorecard shows them winning well above 50%, not before. Players DK does not price fall back to their recent average as the line (marked "vs avg").

Line checker: each card is filled in with DK's line and shows the More / Less percentage. To check a different line, type it in. The ladder and the range use the same numbers.

The scorecard at the bottom is the honesty check: every board is logged at tip-off and graded the next morning against the box scores -- PRA error, whether the grades sort players, the model vs DK's own line on the same players, and whether the MORE / LESS calls beat a coin flip.

Data: ESPN (schedule, box scores, rosters, injuries, DraftKings spreads, totals and PRA lines). No paid feeds.

All games
tap a game to filter
BOSBOS @ DETDET
3:00 PM ET • O/U 222.5 • BOS -1.5
no rotation players out
PHIPHI @ NYNY
7:00 PM ET • O/U 232.5 • NY -4.5
no rotation players out
OKCOKC @ SASA
9:30 PM ET • O/U 231.5 • SA -2.5
no rotation players out

The board projected PRA if he plays; each card shows DK's line and the More / Less odds

#Victor Wembanyama
Spurs vs Thunder • 9:30 PM ET
TOSS-UPLess 53%
DraftKings line
41.5
vs
Our projection
37.8
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  24 pts + 11 reb + 3 ast

We think Wembanyama lands around 38, under DraftKings' 41.5. But so far DraftKings' lines have been more accurate than our model, so we only lean a little.

How confident?
coin flipslightleanstrong
Close to a coin flip. Fine to skip.
Why
  • Expected to play about 31 minutes, fewer than the 40 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 41.5 in 2 of his last 10 games (last season), which is why DraftKings set the line there.
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
33462740314040463835oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = DraftKings' line (41.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 34 and 48.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points23.725.969% to score 20+
Rebounds11.2 ▲9.167% to grab 10+
Assists2.92.61% to dish 8+
Threes2.12.161% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Spurs 117, Thunder 114 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Spurs are 2.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 231.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 31.3 projected (last 5 games 39.8, started 100% of them) • board grade A (on projected PRA) • DK line opened at 40.5 • spread -2.5, total 231.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#A
Victor Wembanyama F • SA vs OKC • 9:30 PM ET StarterLESS -3.7 vs DK
37.8 PRA projected • 23.7 / 11.2 / 2.9 • DK line 41.5 • model -3.7
Chances
34–48 PRA (middle 50%)
30+ 88%35+ 74%40+ 55%45+ 36%50+ 20%
leans on DK's line — the model gets a 10% say
Minutes
31.3 proj (-8.5)
last 5 39.8 • season 31.9 • started 100% of last 5
Points / threes
23.7 pts • 2.1 3PM
L10 25.9 / 2.1 • 20+ pts 69% • 2+ 3PM 61%
Rebounds / assists
11.2 reb • 2.9 ast
L10 9.1 / 2.6 • 10+ reb 67% • 8+ ast 1%
Environment
SA implied 117.0 • spread -2.5
total 231.5 • home • rested • team shares -6%
Form (PRA, last 10)
37.6 avg • season 40.4
35 38 46 40 40 31 40 27 46 33
PRA line DK line 41.5 (opened 40.5) • type another line to check it
minutes down: 31 projected vs 40 last 5 (crowded rotation)
38PRA
#Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Thunder @ Spurs • 9:30 PM ET
TOSS-UPLess 53%
DraftKings line
40.5
vs
Our projection
37.0
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  27 pts + 4 reb + 6 ast

We think Gilgeous-Alexander lands around 37, under DraftKings' 40.5. But so far DraftKings' lines have been more accurate than our model, so we only lean a little.

How confident?
coin flipslightleanstrong
Close to a coin flip. Fine to skip.
Why
  • Expected to play about 33 minutes, fewer than the 35 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 40.5 in 4 of his last 10 games (last season), which is why DraftKings set the line there.
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
26364439434030432048oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = DraftKings' line (40.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 33 and 47.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points27.226.182% to score 20+
Rebounds3.6 ▲2.71% to grab 10+
Assists6.2 ▼8.130% to dish 8+
Threes1.8 ▲1.356% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Thunder 114, Spurs 117 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Thunder are 2.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 231.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 32.6 projected (last 5 games 35.0, started 100% of them) • board grade A (on projected PRA) • DK line opened at 41.5 • spread +2.5, total 231.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#A
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander G • OKC @ SA • 9:30 PM ET StarterLESS -3.5 vs DK
37.0 PRA projected • 27.2 / 3.6 / 6.2 • DK line 40.5 • model -3.5
Chances
33–47 PRA (middle 50%)
30+ 86%35+ 71%40+ 51%45+ 32%50+ 17%
leans on DK's line — the model gets a 10% say
Minutes
32.6 proj (-2.4)
last 5 35.0 • season 34.2 • started 100% of last 5
Points / threes
27.2 pts • 1.8 3PM
L10 26.1 / 1.3 • 20+ pts 82% • 2+ 3PM 56%
Rebounds / assists
3.6 reb • 6.2 ast
L10 2.7 / 8.1 • 10+ reb 1% • 8+ ast 30%
Environment
OKC implied 114.5 • spread +2.5
total 231.5 • road • rested • team shares -7%
Form (PRA, last 10)
36.9 avg • season 40.0
48 20 43 30 40 43 39 44 36 26
PRA line DK line 40.5 (opened 41.5) • type another line to check it
Nothing unusual tonight -- this is his baseline.
37PRA
#Jalen Brunson
Knicks vs 76ers • 7:00 PM ET
TOSS-UPLess 52%
DraftKings line
37.5
vs
Our projection
35.9
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  26 pts + 3 reb + 7 ast

We think Brunson lands around 36, under DraftKings' 37.5. But so far DraftKings' lines have been more accurate than our model, so we only lean a little.

How confident?
coin flipslightleanstrong
Close to a coin flip. Fine to skip.
Why
  • Expected to play about 35 minutes, fewer than the 39 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 37.5 in 5 of his last 10 games (last season), which is why DraftKings set the line there.
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
47324936223531424851oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = DraftKings' line (37.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 31 and 44.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points25.7 ▼29.077% to score 20+
Rebounds3.5 ▼4.01% to grab 10+
Assists6.76.338% to dish 8+
Threes2.42.770% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Knicks 118, 76ers 114 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Knicks are 4.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 232.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 34.7 projected (last 5 games 39.0, started 100% of them) • board grade B+ (on projected PRA) • DK line opened at 36.5 • spread -4.5, total 232.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#B+
Jalen Brunson G • NY vs PHI • 7:00 PM ET Starter
35.9 PRA projected • 25.7 / 3.5 / 6.7 • DK line 37.5 • model -1.6
Chances
31–44 PRA (middle 50%)
25+ 92%30+ 79%35+ 60%40+ 40%45+ 22%
leans on DK's line — the model gets a 10% say
Minutes
34.7 proj (-4.3)
last 5 39.0 • season 36.2 • started 100% of last 5
Points / threes
25.7 pts • 2.4 3PM
L10 29.0 / 2.7 • 20+ pts 77% • 2+ 3PM 70%
Rebounds / assists
3.5 reb • 6.7 ast
L10 4.0 / 6.3 • 10+ reb 1% • 8+ ast 38%
Environment
NY implied 118.5 • spread -4.5
total 232.5 • home • rested • team shares +1%
Form (PRA, last 10)
39.3 avg • season 36.4
51 48 42 31 35 22 36 49 32 47
PRA line DK line 37.5 (opened 36.5) • type another line to check it
minutes down: 35 projected vs 39 last 5 (crowded rotation)
36PRA
#Cade Cunningham
Pistons vs Celtics • 3:00 PM ET
TOSS-UPLess 53%
DraftKings line
39.5
vs
Our projection
35.0
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  22 pts + 5 reb + 8 ast

We think Cunningham lands around 35, under DraftKings' 39.5. But so far DraftKings' lines have been more accurate than our model, so we only lean a little.

How confident?
coin flipslightleanstrong
Close to a coin flip. Fine to skip.
Why
  • Expected to play about 33 minutes, fewer than the 40 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 39.5 in 6 of his last 10 games (last season), which is why DraftKings set the line there.
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
41405445453347283122oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = DraftKings' line (39.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 32 and 45.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points21.7 ▼26.460% to score 20+
Rebounds5.15.15% to grab 10+
Assists8.2 ▲7.157% to dish 8+
Threes1.9 ▼2.858% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Pistons 110, Celtics 112 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Pistons are 1.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 222.5 is lower-scoring than an average game (229): fewer possessions, fewer stats for everyone.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 32.9 projected (last 5 games 39.8, started 100% of them) • board grade B+ (on projected PRA) • DK line opened at 39.5 • spread +1.5, total 222.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#B+
Cade Cunningham G • DET vs BOS • 3:00 PM ET StarterLESS -4.5 vs DK
35.0 PRA projected • 21.7 / 5.1 / 8.2 • DK line 39.5 • model -4.5
Chances
32–45 PRA (middle 50%)
30+ 84%35+ 67%40+ 47%45+ 28%50+ 14%
leans on DK's line — the model gets a 10% say
Minutes
32.9 proj (-6.9)
last 5 39.8 • season 34.4 • started 100% of last 5
Points / threes
21.7 pts • 1.9 3PM
L10 26.4 / 2.8 • 20+ pts 60% • 2+ 3PM 58%
Rebounds / assists
5.1 reb • 8.2 ast
L10 5.1 / 7.1 • 10+ reb 5% • 8+ ast 57%
Environment
DET implied 110.5 • spread +1.5
total 222.5 • home • rested • team shares -6%
Form (PRA, last 10)
38.6 avg • season 37.7
22 31 28 47 33 45 45 54 40 41
PRA line DK line 39.5 • type another line to check it
minutes down: 33 projected vs 40 last 5 (crowded rotation)
35PRA
#Jayson Tatum
Celtics @ Pistons • 3:00 PM ET
TOSS-UPLess 54%
DraftKings line
42.5
vs
Our projection
34.8
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  21 pts + 9 reb + 5 ast

We think Tatum lands around 35, under DraftKings' 42.5. But so far DraftKings' lines have been more accurate than our model, so we only lean a little.

How confident?
coin flipslightleanstrong
Close to a coin flip. Fine to skip.
Why
  • Expected to play about 32 minutes, fewer than the 37 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 42.5 in 6 of his last 10 games (last season), which is why DraftKings set the line there.
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
43433245434237484431oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = DraftKings' line (42.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 35 and 48.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points21.123.356% to score 20+
Rebounds8.8 ▼10.640% to grab 10+
Assists5.0 ▼6.915% to dish 8+
Threes2.6 ▼3.072% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Celtics 112, Pistons 110 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Celtics are 1.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 222.5 is lower-scoring than an average game (229): fewer possessions, fewer stats for everyone.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 31.8 projected (last 5 games 37.2, started 100% of them) • board grade B+ (on projected PRA) • DK line opened at 42.5 • spread -1.5, total 222.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#B+
Jayson Tatum F • BOS @ DET • 3:00 PM ET StarterLESS -7.7 vs DK
34.8 PRA projected • 21.1 / 8.8 / 5.0 • DK line 42.5 • model -7.7
Chances
35–48 PRA (middle 50%)
30+ 90%35+ 76%40+ 58%45+ 38%50+ 21%
leans on DK's line — the model gets a 10% say
Minutes
31.8 proj (-5.4)
last 5 37.2 • season 33.6 • started 100% of last 5
Points / threes
21.1 pts • 2.6 3PM
L10 23.3 / 3.0 • 20+ pts 56% • 2+ 3PM 72%
Rebounds / assists
8.8 reb • 5.0 ast
L10 10.6 / 6.9 • 10+ reb 40% • 8+ ast 15%
Environment
BOS implied 112.0 • spread -1.5
total 222.5 • road • rested • team shares +2%
Form (PRA, last 10)
40.8 avg • season 38.1
31 44 48 37 42 43 45 32 43 43
PRA line DK line 42.5 • type another line to check it
minutes down: 32 projected vs 37 last 5 (crowded rotation)
35PRA
#Karl-Anthony Towns
Knicks vs 76ers • 7:00 PM ET
TOSS-UPLess 53%
DraftKings line
35.5
vs
Our projection
32.8
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  18 pts + 12 reb + 3 ast

We think Towns lands around 33, under DraftKings' 35.5. But so far DraftKings' lines have been more accurate than our model, so we only lean a little.

How confident?
coin flipslightleanstrong
Close to a coin flip. Fine to skip.
Why
  • Expected to play about 29 minutes, fewer than the 31 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 35.5 in 2 of his last 10 games (last season), which is why DraftKings set the line there.
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
27313132363438202513oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = DraftKings' line (35.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 29 and 41.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points17.5 ▲14.037% to score 20+
Rebounds11.810.972% to grab 10+
Assists3.43.83% to dish 8+
Threes1.31.340% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Knicks 118, 76ers 114 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Knicks are 4.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 232.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 28.6 projected (last 5 games 31.0, started 100% of them) • board grade B+ (on projected PRA) • DK line opened at 33.5 • spread -4.5, total 232.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#B+
Karl-Anthony Towns C • NY vs PHI • 7:00 PM ET Starter
32.8 PRA projected • 17.5 / 11.8 / 3.4 • DK line 35.5 • model -2.7
Chances
29–41 PRA (middle 50%)
25+ 88%30+ 72%35+ 52%40+ 32%45+ 16%
leans on DK's line — the model gets a 10% say
Minutes
28.6 proj (-2.4)
last 5 31.0 • season 30.1 • started 100% of last 5
Points / threes
17.5 pts • 1.3 3PM
L10 14.0 / 1.3 • 20+ pts 37% • 2+ 3PM 40%
Rebounds / assists
11.8 reb • 3.4 ast
L10 10.9 / 3.8 • 10+ reb 72% • 8+ ast 3%
Environment
NY implied 118.5 • spread -4.5
total 232.5 • home • rested • team shares +1%
Form (PRA, last 10)
28.7 avg • season 33.9
13 25 20 38 34 36 32 31 31 27
PRA line DK line 35.5 (opened 33.5) • type another line to check it
cold: 26.0 PRA last 5 vs 33.9
33PRA
#Jaylen Brown
76ers @ Knicks • 7:00 PM ET
TOSS-UPLess 50%
DraftKings line
29.5
vs
Our projection
32.7
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  23 pts + 7 reb + 4 ast

We think Brown lands around 33, over DraftKings' 29.5. But so far DraftKings' lines have been more accurate than our model, so we only lean a little.

How confident?
coin flipslightleanstrong
Close to a coin flip. Fine to skip.
Why
  • Expected to play about 33 minutes, fewer than the 36 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 29.5 in 7 of his last 10 games (last season), which is why DraftKings set the line there.
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
35472733473628322146oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = DraftKings' line (29.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 24 and 36.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points22.5 ▼26.463% to score 20+
Rebounds6.5 ▲5.815% to grab 10+
Assists3.7 ▲3.05% to dish 8+
Threes1.8 ▼2.355% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: 76ers 114, Knicks 118 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The 76ers are 4.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 232.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
  • Deep roster: lots of teammates to share the ball with, so his scoring share is trimmed a little.
More details
Minutes: 32.7 projected (last 5 games 36.0, started 100% of them) • board grade B+ (on projected PRA) • DK line opened at 28.5 • spread +4.5, total 232.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#B+
Jaylen Brown G • PHI @ NY • 7:00 PM ET StarterMORE +3.2 vs DK
32.7 PRA projected • 22.5 / 6.5 / 3.7 • DK line 29.5 • model +3.2
Chances
24–36 PRA (middle 50%)
20+ 88%25+ 71%30+ 50%35+ 29%40+ 14%
leans on DK's line — the model gets a 10% say
Minutes
32.7 proj (-3.3)
last 5 36.0 • season 35.0 • started 100% of last 5
Points / threes
22.5 pts • 1.8 3PM
L10 26.4 / 2.3 • 20+ pts 63% • 2+ 3PM 55%
Rebounds / assists
6.5 reb • 3.7 ast
L10 5.8 / 3.0 • 10+ reb 15% • 8+ ast 5%
Environment
PHI implied 114.0 • spread +4.5
total 232.5 • road • rested • team shares -20%
Form (PRA, last 10)
35.2 avg • season 39.5
46 21 32 28 36 47 33 27 47 35
PRA line DK line 29.5 (opened 28.5) • type another line to check it
crowded offense: 114 implied points to go around (team shares -20%) · cold: 32.6 PRA last 5 vs 39.5 · new team: role assumed from BOS
33PRA
#Joel Embiid
76ers @ Knicks • 7:00 PM ET
TOSS-UPLess 52%
DraftKings line
33.5
vs
Our projection
32.4
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  21 pts + 8 reb + 3 ast

We think Embiid lands around 32, under DraftKings' 33.5. But so far DraftKings' lines have been more accurate than our model, so we only lean a little.

How confident?
coin flipslightleanstrong
Close to a coin flip. Fine to skip.
Why
  • He went over 33.5 in 7 of his last 10 games (last season), which is why DraftKings set the line there.
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
36394742453752192933oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = DraftKings' line (33.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 27 and 39.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points21.5 ▼24.758% to score 20+
Rebounds7.78.328% to grab 10+
Assists3.2 ▼4.92% to dish 8+
Threes1.1 ▲1.034% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: 76ers 114, Knicks 118 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The 76ers are 4.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 232.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
  • Deep roster: lots of teammates to share the ball with, so his scoring share is trimmed a little.
More details
Minutes: 30.9 projected (last 5 games 32.2, started 100% of them) • board grade B+ (on projected PRA) • DK line opened at 33.5 • spread +4.5, total 232.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#B+
Joel Embiid C • PHI @ NY • 7:00 PM ET Starter
32.4 PRA projected • 21.5 / 7.7 / 3.2 • DK line 33.5 • model -1.1
Chances
27–39 PRA (middle 50%)
25+ 83%30+ 65%35+ 44%40+ 25%45+ 12%
leans on DK's line — the model gets a 10% say
Minutes
30.9 proj (-1.3)
last 5 32.2 • season 32.9 • started 100% of last 5
Points / threes
21.5 pts • 1.1 3PM
L10 24.7 / 1.0 • 20+ pts 58% • 2+ 3PM 34%
Rebounds / assists
7.7 reb • 3.2 ast
L10 8.3 / 4.9 • 10+ reb 28% • 8+ ast 2%
Environment
PHI implied 114.0 • spread +4.5
total 232.5 • road • rested • team shares -20%
Form (PRA, last 10)
37.9 avg • season 39.7
33 29 19 52 37 45 42 47 39 36
PRA line DK line 33.5 • type another line to check it
crowded offense: 114 implied points to go around (team shares -20%)
32PRA
#Tyrese Maxey
76ers @ Knicks • 7:00 PM ET
TOSS-UPLess 51%
DraftKings line
29.5
vs
Our projection
30.2
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  21 pts + 4 reb + 5 ast

We think Maxey lands around 30, over DraftKings' 29.5. But so far DraftKings' lines have been more accurate than our model, so we only lean a little.

How confident?
coin flipslightleanstrong
Close to a coin flip. Fine to skip.
Why
  • Expected to play about 36 minutes, fewer than the 39 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 29.5 in 7 of his last 10 games (last season), which is why DraftKings set the line there.
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
42413040374818352623oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = DraftKings' line (29.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 23 and 35.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points21.4 ▼24.058% to score 20+
Rebounds3.94.32% to grab 10+
Assists4.9 ▼5.714% to dish 8+
Threes2.52.572% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: 76ers 114, Knicks 118 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The 76ers are 4.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 232.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
  • Deep roster: lots of teammates to share the ball with, so his scoring share is trimmed a little.
More details
Minutes: 35.8 projected (last 5 games 39.2, started 100% of them) • board grade B (on projected PRA) • DK line opened at 29.5 • spread +4.5, total 232.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#B
Tyrese Maxey G • PHI @ NY • 7:00 PM ET Starter
30.2 PRA projected • 21.4 / 3.9 / 4.9 • DK line 29.5 • model +0.7
Chances
23–35 PRA (middle 50%)
20+ 87%25+ 70%30+ 49%35+ 28%40+ 13%
leans on DK's line — the model gets a 10% say
Minutes
35.8 proj (-3.4)
last 5 39.2 • season 37.0 • started 100% of last 5
Points / threes
21.4 pts • 2.5 3PM
L10 24.0 / 2.5 • 20+ pts 58% • 2+ 3PM 72%
Rebounds / assists
3.9 reb • 4.9 ast
L10 4.3 / 5.7 • 10+ reb 2% • 8+ ast 14%
Environment
PHI implied 114.0 • spread +4.5
total 232.5 • road • rested • team shares -20%
Form (PRA, last 10)
34.0 avg • season 35.3
23 26 35 18 48 37 40 30 41 42
PRA line DK line 29.5 • type another line to check it
crowded offense: 114 implied points to go around (team shares -20%)
30PRA
#LeBron James
76ers @ Knicks • 7:00 PM ET
TOSS-UPLess 52%
DraftKings line
30.5
vs
Our projection
29.0
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  17 pts + 6 reb + 6 ast

We think James lands around 29, under DraftKings' 30.5. But so far DraftKings' lines have been more accurate than our model, so we only lean a little.

How confident?
coin flipslightleanstrong
Close to a coin flip. Fine to skip.
Why
  • Expected to play about 33 minutes, fewer than the 38 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 30.5 in 9 of his last 10 games (last season), which is why DraftKings set the line there.
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
40434823354337313339oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = DraftKings' line (30.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 24 and 36.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points17.0 ▼23.234% to score 20+
Rebounds6.26.713% to grab 10+
Assists5.8 ▼7.325% to dish 8+
Threes1.2 ▼1.738% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: 76ers 114, Knicks 118 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The 76ers are 4.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 232.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
  • Deep roster: lots of teammates to share the ball with, so his scoring share is trimmed a little.
More details
Minutes: 32.8 projected (last 5 games 37.6, started 100% of them) • board grade B (on projected PRA) • DK line opened at 29.5 • spread +4.5, total 232.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#B
LeBron James F • PHI @ NY • 7:00 PM ET Starter
29.0 PRA projected • 17.0 / 6.2 / 5.8 • DK line 30.5 • model -1.5
Chances
24–36 PRA (middle 50%)
20+ 89%25+ 73%30+ 52%35+ 31%40+ 15%
leans on DK's line — the model gets a 10% say
Minutes
32.8 proj (-4.8)
last 5 37.6 • season 34.5 • started 100% of last 5
Points / threes
17.0 pts • 1.2 3PM
L10 23.2 / 1.7 • 20+ pts 34% • 2+ 3PM 38%
Rebounds / assists
6.2 reb • 5.8 ast
L10 6.7 / 7.3 • 10+ reb 13% • 8+ ast 25%
Environment
PHI implied 114.0 • spread +4.5
total 232.5 • road • rested • team shares -20%
Form (PRA, last 10)
37.2 avg • season 34.9
39 33 31 37 43 35 23 48 43 40
PRA line DK line 30.5 (opened 29.5) • type another line to check it
crowded offense: 114 implied points to go around (team shares -20%) · new team: role assumed from LAL
29PRA
#Jalen Duren
Pistons vs Celtics • 3:00 PM ET
TOSS-UPLess 52%
DraftKings line
29.5
vs
Our projection
28.1
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  17 pts + 10 reb + 2 ast

We think Duren lands around 28, under DraftKings' 29.5. But so far DraftKings' lines have been more accurate than our model, so we only lean a little.

How confident?
coin flipslightleanstrong
Close to a coin flip. Fine to skip.
Why
  • He went over 29.5 in 1 of his last 10 games (last season), which is why DraftKings set the line there.
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
18232318332716122619oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = DraftKings' line (29.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 23 and 35.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points16.5 ▲10.732% to score 20+
Rebounds9.8 ▲8.852% to grab 10+
Assists1.8 ▼2.00% to dish 8+
Threes0.00.00% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Pistons 110, Celtics 112 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Pistons are 1.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 222.5 is lower-scoring than an average game (229): fewer possessions, fewer stats for everyone.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 28.1 projected (last 5 games 28.8, started 100% of them) • board grade B (on projected PRA) • DK line opened at 27.5 • spread +1.5, total 222.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#B
Jalen Duren C • DET vs BOS • 3:00 PM ET Starter
28.1 PRA projected • 16.5 / 9.8 / 1.8 • DK line 29.5 • model -1.4
Chances
23–35 PRA (middle 50%)
20+ 87%25+ 70%30+ 48%35+ 27%40+ 13%
leans on DK's line — the model gets a 10% say
Minutes
28.1 proj (-0.7)
last 5 28.8 • season 28.9 • started 100% of last 5
Points / threes
16.5 pts • 0.0 3PM
L10 10.7 / 0.0 • 20+ pts 32% • 2+ 3PM 0%
Rebounds / assists
9.8 reb • 1.8 ast
L10 8.8 / 2.0 • 10+ reb 52% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
DET implied 110.5 • spread +1.5
total 222.5 • home • rested • team shares -6%
Form (PRA, last 10)
21.5 avg • season 30.3
19 26 12 16 27 33 18 23 23 18
PRA line DK line 29.5 (opened 27.5) • type another line to check it
cold: 20.0 PRA last 5 vs 30.3
28PRA
#Stephon Castle
Spurs vs Thunder • 9:30 PM ET
TOSS-UPLess 52%
DraftKings line
27.5
vs
Our projection
28.0
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  16 pts + 5 reb + 7 ast

We think Castle lands around 28, over DraftKings' 27.5. But so far DraftKings' lines have been more accurate than our model, so we only lean a little.

How confident?
coin flipslightleanstrong
Close to a coin flip. Fine to skip.
Why
  • He went over 27.5 in 5 of his last 10 games (last season), which is why DraftKings set the line there.
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
26223531282822332315oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = DraftKings' line (27.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 21 and 33.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points16.115.730% to score 20+
Rebounds5.25.16% to grab 10+
Assists6.7 ▲5.537% to dish 8+
Threes1.5 ▲1.146% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Spurs 117, Thunder 114 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Spurs are 2.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 231.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 30.7 projected (last 5 games 31.6, started 100% of them) • board grade B (on projected PRA) • DK line opened at 27.5 • spread -2.5, total 231.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#B
Stephon Castle G • SA vs OKC • 9:30 PM ET Starter
28.0 PRA projected • 16.1 / 5.2 / 6.7 • DK line 27.5 • model +0.5
Chances
21–33 PRA (middle 50%)
20+ 82%25+ 62%30+ 40%35+ 21%40+ 9%
leans on DK's line — the model gets a 10% say
Minutes
30.7 proj (-0.9)
last 5 31.6 • season 32.3 • started 100% of last 5
Points / threes
16.1 pts • 1.5 3PM
L10 15.7 / 1.1 • 20+ pts 30% • 2+ 3PM 46%
Rebounds / assists
5.2 reb • 6.7 ast
L10 5.1 / 5.5 • 10+ reb 6% • 8+ ast 37%
Environment
SA implied 117.0 • spread -2.5
total 231.5 • home • rested • team shares -6%
Form (PRA, last 10)
26.3 avg • season 30.8
15 23 33 22 28 28 31 35 22 26
PRA line DK line 27.5 • type another line to check it
cold: 24.2 PRA last 5 vs 30.8
28PRA
#OG Anunoby
Knicks vs 76ers • 7:00 PM ET
TOSS-UPLess 51%
DraftKings line
23.5
vs
Our projection
25.5
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  18 pts + 6 reb + 2 ast

We think Anunoby lands around 25, over DraftKings' 23.5. But so far DraftKings' lines have been more accurate than our model, so we only lean a little.

How confident?
coin flipslightleanstrong
Close to a coin flip. Fine to skip.
Why
  • Expected to play about 33 minutes, fewer than the 36 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 23.5 in 5 of his last 10 games (last season), which is why DraftKings set the line there.
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
22312021282024343819oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = DraftKings' line (23.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 18 and 29.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points17.619.238% to score 20+
Rebounds5.9 ▲4.810% to grab 10+
Assists2.0 ▲1.70% to dish 8+
Threes2.42.469% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Knicks 118, 76ers 114 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Knicks are 4.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 232.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 32.9 projected (last 5 games 36.0, started 100% of them) • board grade C (on projected PRA) • DK line opened at 25.5 • spread -4.5, total 232.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#C
OG Anunoby F • NY vs PHI • 7:00 PM ET Starter
25.5 PRA projected • 17.6 / 5.9 / 2.0 • DK line 23.5 • model +2.0
Chances
18–29 PRA (middle 50%)
15+ 87%20+ 68%25+ 44%30+ 24%35+ 10%
leans on DK's line — the model gets a 10% say
Minutes
32.9 proj (-3.1)
last 5 36.0 • season 33.9 • started 100% of last 5
Points / threes
17.6 pts • 2.4 3PM
L10 19.2 / 2.4 • 20+ pts 38% • 2+ 3PM 69%
Rebounds / assists
5.9 reb • 2.0 ast
L10 4.8 / 1.7 • 10+ reb 10% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
NY implied 118.5 • spread -4.5
total 232.5 • home • rested • team shares +1%
Form (PRA, last 10)
25.7 avg • season 25.7
19 38 34 24 20 28 21 20 31 22
PRA line DK line 23.5 (opened 25.5) • type another line to check it
minutes down: 33 projected vs 36 last 5 (crowded rotation)
25PRA
#De'Aaron Fox
Spurs vs Thunder • 9:30 PM ET
TOSS-UPLess 51%
DraftKings line
23.5
vs
Our projection
25.4
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  16 pts + 4 reb + 6 ast

We think Fox lands around 25, over DraftKings' 23.5. But so far DraftKings' lines have been more accurate than our model, so we only lean a little.

How confident?
coin flipslightleanstrong
Close to a coin flip. Fine to skip.
Why
  • Expected to play about 31 minutes, fewer than the 37 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 23.5 in 4 of his last 10 games (last season), which is why DraftKings set the line there.
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
28272117201628233012oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = DraftKings' line (23.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 18 and 29.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points15.9 ▲12.029% to score 20+
Rebounds3.7 ▼4.11% to grab 10+
Assists5.86.125% to dish 8+
Threes1.8 ▲1.254% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Spurs 117, Thunder 114 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Spurs are 2.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 231.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 31.1 projected (last 5 games 36.6, started 100% of them) • board grade C (on projected PRA) • DK line opened at 22.5 • spread -2.5, total 231.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#C
De'Aaron Fox G • SA vs OKC • 9:30 PM ET Starter
25.4 PRA projected • 15.9 / 3.7 / 5.8 • DK line 23.5 • model +1.9
Chances
18–29 PRA (middle 50%)
15+ 87%20+ 68%25+ 44%30+ 24%35+ 10%
leans on DK's line — the model gets a 10% say
Minutes
31.1 proj (-5.5)
last 5 36.6 • season 31.9 • started 100% of last 5
Points / threes
15.9 pts • 1.8 3PM
L10 12.0 / 1.2 • 20+ pts 29% • 2+ 3PM 54%
Rebounds / assists
3.7 reb • 5.8 ast
L10 4.1 / 6.1 • 10+ reb 1% • 8+ ast 25%
Environment
SA implied 117.0 • spread -2.5
total 231.5 • home • rested • team shares -6%
Form (PRA, last 10)
22.2 avg • season 26.4
12 30 23 28 16 20 17 21 27 28
PRA line DK line 23.5 (opened 22.5) • type another line to check it
minutes down: 31 projected vs 37 last 5 (crowded rotation) · cold: 21.8 PRA last 5 vs 26.4
25PRA
#Paul George
Celtics @ Pistons • 3:00 PM ET
TOSS-UPLess 51%
DraftKings line
23.5
vs
Our projection
24.8
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  17 pts + 4 reb + 3 ast

We think George lands around 25, over DraftKings' 23.5. But so far DraftKings' lines have been more accurate than our model, so we only lean a little.

How confident?
coin flipslightleanstrong
Close to a coin flip. Fine to skip.
Why
  • Expected to play about 32 minutes, fewer than the 35 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 23.5 in 4 of his last 10 games (last season), which is why DraftKings set the line there.
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
26232132301723292310oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = DraftKings' line (23.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 18 and 29.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points17.316.336% to score 20+
Rebounds4.4 ▲3.93% to grab 10+
Assists3.13.22% to dish 8+
Threes2.6 ▼3.473% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Celtics 112, Pistons 110 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Celtics are 1.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 222.5 is lower-scoring than an average game (229): fewer possessions, fewer stats for everyone.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 31.8 projected (last 5 games 35.2, started 100% of them) • board grade C (on projected PRA) • DK line opened at 23.5 • spread -1.5, total 222.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#C
Paul George F • BOS @ DET • 3:00 PM ET Starter
24.8 PRA projected • 17.3 / 4.4 / 3.1 • DK line 23.5 • model +1.3
Chances
18–29 PRA (middle 50%)
15+ 87%20+ 68%25+ 44%30+ 23%35+ 10%
leans on DK's line — the model gets a 10% say
Minutes
31.8 proj (-3.4)
last 5 35.2 • season 33.3 • started 100% of last 5
Points / threes
17.3 pts • 2.6 3PM
L10 16.3 / 3.4 • 20+ pts 36% • 2+ 3PM 73%
Rebounds / assists
4.4 reb • 3.1 ast
L10 3.9 / 3.2 • 10+ reb 3% • 8+ ast 2%
Environment
BOS implied 112.0 • spread -1.5
total 222.5 • road • rested • team shares +2%
Form (PRA, last 10)
23.4 avg • season 26.2
10 23 29 23 17 30 32 21 23 26
PRA line DK line 23.5 • type another line to check it
minutes down: 32 projected vs 35 last 5 (crowded rotation) · cold: 20.4 PRA last 5 vs 26.2 · new team: role assumed from PHI
25PRA
#Josh Hart
Knicks vs 76ers • 7:00 PM ET Day-To-Day
TOSS-UPLess 52%
DraftKings line
23.5
vs
Our projection
24.2
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  11 pts + 8 reb + 5 ast

We think Hart lands around 24, over DraftKings' 23.5. But so far DraftKings' lines have been more accurate than our model, so we only lean a little.

How confident?
coin flipslightleanstrong
Close to a coin flip. Fine to skip.
Why
  • He went over 23.5 in 7 of his last 10 games (last season), which is why DraftKings set the line there.
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
26272437232410302026oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = DraftKings' line (23.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 18 and 29.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points11.411.210% to score 20+
Rebounds8.2 ▼9.133% to grab 10+
Assists4.64.412% to dish 8+
Threes1.5 ▼1.947% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Knicks 118, 76ers 114 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Knicks are 4.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 232.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 30.1 projected (last 5 games 30.4, started 100% of them) • board grade C (on projected PRA) • DK line opened at 26.5 • spread -4.5, total 232.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#C
Josh Hart G • NY vs PHI • 7:00 PM ET StarterDay-To-Day
24.2 PRA projected • 11.4 / 8.2 / 4.6 • DK line 23.5 • model +0.7
Chances
18–29 PRA (middle 50%)
15+ 87%20+ 67%25+ 44%30+ 23%35+ 10%
leans on DK's line — the model gets a 10% say
Minutes
30.1 proj (-0.3)
last 5 30.4 • season 30.9 • started 100% of last 5
Points / threes
11.4 pts • 1.5 3PM
L10 11.2 / 1.9 • 20+ pts 10% • 2+ 3PM 47%
Rebounds / assists
8.2 reb • 4.6 ast
L10 9.1 / 4.4 • 10+ reb 33% • 8+ ast 12%
Environment
NY implied 118.5 • spread -4.5
total 232.5 • home • rested • team shares +1%
Form (PRA, last 10)
24.7 avg • season 23.3
26 20 30 10 24 23 37 24 27 26
PRA line DK line 23.5 (opened 26.5) • type another line to check it
Day-To-Day
24PRA
#Payton Pritchard
Celtics @ Pistons • 3:00 PM ET
TOSS-UPLess 52%
DraftKings line
23.5
vs
Our projection
23.8
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  16 pts + 3 reb + 4 ast

We think Pritchard lands around 24, over DraftKings' 23.5. But so far DraftKings' lines have been more accurate than our model, so we only lean a little.

How confident?
coin flipslightleanstrong
Close to a coin flip. Fine to skip.
Why
  • Expected to play about 30 minutes, fewer than the 34 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 23.5 in 4 of his last 10 games (last season), which is why DraftKings set the line there.
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
19323421142141202225oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = DraftKings' line (23.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 18 and 29.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points16.115.830% to score 20+
Rebounds3.2 ▼3.61% to grab 10+
Assists4.5 ▼5.510% to dish 8+
Threes2.4 ▼2.970% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Celtics 112, Pistons 110 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Celtics are 1.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 222.5 is lower-scoring than an average game (229): fewer possessions, fewer stats for everyone.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 30.4 projected (last 5 games 33.8, started 0% of them) • board grade C (on projected PRA) • DK line opened at 22.5 • spread -1.5, total 222.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#C
Payton Pritchard G • BOS @ DET • 3:00 PM ET Starter
23.8 PRA projected • 16.1 / 3.2 / 4.5 • DK line 23.5 • model +0.3
Chances
18–29 PRA (middle 50%)
15+ 86%20+ 67%25+ 43%30+ 23%35+ 10%
leans on DK's line — the model gets a 10% say
Minutes
30.4 proj (-3.4)
last 5 33.8 • season 32.1 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
16.1 pts • 2.4 3PM
L10 15.8 / 2.9 • 20+ pts 30% • 2+ 3PM 70%
Rebounds / assists
3.2 reb • 4.5 ast
L10 3.6 / 5.5 • 10+ reb 1% • 8+ ast 10%
Environment
BOS implied 112.0 • spread -1.5
total 222.5 • road • rested • team shares +2%
Form (PRA, last 10)
24.9 avg • season 25.5
25 22 20 41 21 14 21 34 32 19
PRA line DK line 23.5 (opened 22.5) • type another line to check it
minutes down: 30 projected vs 34 last 5 (crowded rotation)
24PRA
#Chet Holmgren
Thunder @ Spurs • 9:30 PM ET Day-To-Day
TOSS-UPLess 52%
DraftKings line
22.5
vs
Our projection
23.1
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  14 pts + 8 reb + 1 ast

We think Holmgren lands around 23, over DraftKings' 22.5. But so far DraftKings' lines have been more accurate than our model, so we only lean a little.

How confident?
coin flipslightleanstrong
Close to a coin flip. Fine to skip.
Why
  • He went over 22.5 in 4 of his last 10 games (last season), which is why DraftKings set the line there.
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
3428251619182128228oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = DraftKings' line (22.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 17 and 28.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points14.013.119% to score 20+
Rebounds8.07.731% to grab 10+
Assists1.21.10% to dish 8+
Threes1.3 ▲0.639% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Thunder 114, Spurs 117 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Thunder are 2.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 231.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 26.8 projected (last 5 games 28.2, started 100% of them) • board grade C (on projected PRA) • DK line opened at 23.5 • spread +2.5, total 231.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#C
Chet Holmgren C • OKC @ SA • 9:30 PM ET StarterDay-To-Day
23.1 PRA projected • 14.0 / 8.0 / 1.2 • DK line 22.5 • model +0.6
Chances
17–28 PRA (middle 50%)
15+ 84%20+ 63%25+ 39%30+ 20%35+ 8%
leans on DK's line — the model gets a 10% say
Minutes
26.8 proj (-1.4)
last 5 28.2 • season 29.2 • started 100% of last 5
Points / threes
14.0 pts • 1.3 3PM
L10 13.1 / 0.6 • 20+ pts 19% • 2+ 3PM 39%
Rebounds / assists
8.0 reb • 1.2 ast
L10 7.7 / 1.1 • 10+ reb 31% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
OKC implied 114.5 • spread +2.5
total 231.5 • road • rested • team shares -7%
Form (PRA, last 10)
21.9 avg • season 26.2
8 22 28 21 18 19 16 25 28 34
PRA line DK line 22.5 (opened 23.5) • type another line to check it
cold: 19.4 PRA last 5 vs 26.2 · Day-To-Day
23PRA
#Derrick White
Celtics @ Pistons • 3:00 PM ET
TOSS-UPLess 53%
DraftKings line
24.5
vs
Our projection
22.6
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  15 pts + 4 reb + 4 ast

We think White lands around 23, under DraftKings' 24.5. But so far DraftKings' lines have been more accurate than our model, so we only lean a little.

How confident?
coin flipslightleanstrong
Close to a coin flip. Fine to skip.
Why
  • Expected to play about 32 minutes, fewer than the 36 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 24.5 in 1 of his last 10 games (last season), which is why DraftKings set the line there.
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
17121619131715101336oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = DraftKings' line (24.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 18 and 30.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points14.7 ▲10.722% to score 20+
Rebounds3.6 ▲3.01% to grab 10+
Assists4.4 ▲3.19% to dish 8+
Threes2.32.267% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Celtics 112, Pistons 110 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Celtics are 1.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 222.5 is lower-scoring than an average game (229): fewer possessions, fewer stats for everyone.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 32.1 projected (last 5 games 36.0, started 100% of them) • board grade C (on projected PRA) • DK line opened at 22.5 • spread -1.5, total 222.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#C
Derrick White G • BOS @ DET • 3:00 PM ET Starter
22.6 PRA projected • 14.7 / 3.6 / 4.4 • DK line 24.5 • model -1.9
Chances
18–30 PRA (middle 50%)
15+ 88%20+ 70%25+ 47%30+ 26%35+ 12%
leans on DK's line — the model gets a 10% say
Minutes
32.1 proj (-3.9)
last 5 36.0 • season 34.3 • started 100% of last 5
Points / threes
14.7 pts • 2.3 3PM
L10 10.7 / 2.2 • 20+ pts 22% • 2+ 3PM 67%
Rebounds / assists
3.6 reb • 4.4 ast
L10 3.0 / 3.1 • 10+ reb 1% • 8+ ast 9%
Environment
BOS implied 112.0 • spread -1.5
total 222.5 • road • rested • team shares +2%
Form (PRA, last 10)
16.8 avg • season 23.2
36 13 10 15 17 13 19 16 12 17
PRA line DK line 24.5 (opened 22.5) • type another line to check it
minutes down: 32 projected vs 36 last 5 (crowded rotation) · cold: 18.2 PRA last 5 vs 23.2
23PRA
#Jalen Williams
Thunder @ Spurs • 9:30 PM ET
TOSS-UPLess 54%
DraftKings line
26.5
vs
Our projection
21.4
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  14 pts + 4 reb + 4 ast

We think Williams lands around 21, under DraftKings' 26.5. But so far DraftKings' lines have been more accurate than our model, so we only lean a little.

How confident?
coin flipslightleanstrong
Close to a coin flip. Fine to skip.
Why
  • Expected to play about 24 minutes, more than the 21 he averaged in his last 5 games.
  • He went over 26.5 in 5 of his last 10 games (last season), which is why DraftKings set the line there.
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
322527243035243652oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = DraftKings' line (26.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 20 and 32.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points13.7 ▼15.518% to score 20+
Rebounds3.84.01% to grab 10+
Assists4.0 ▼4.56% to dish 8+
Threes0.9 ▲0.728% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Thunder 114, Spurs 117 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Thunder are 2.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 231.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 23.9 projected (last 5 games 21.2, started 80% of them) • board grade C (on projected PRA) • DK line opened at 27.5 • spread +2.5, total 231.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#C
Jalen Williams G • OKC @ SA • 9:30 PM ET StarterLESS -5.1 vs DK
21.4 PRA projected • 13.7 / 3.8 / 4.0 • DK line 26.5 • model -5.1
Chances
20–32 PRA (middle 50%)
15+ 92%20+ 77%25+ 55%30+ 33%35+ 16%
leans on DK's line — the model gets a 10% say
Minutes
23.9 proj (+2.7)
last 5 21.2 • season 27.4 • started 80% of last 5
Points / threes
13.7 pts • 0.9 3PM
L10 15.5 / 0.7 • 20+ pts 18% • 2+ 3PM 28%
Rebounds / assists
3.8 reb • 4.0 ast
L10 4.0 / 4.5 • 10+ reb 1% • 8+ ast 6%
Environment
OKC implied 114.5 • spread +2.5
total 231.5 • road • rested • team shares -7%
Form (PRA, last 10)
24.0 avg • season 26.3
2 5 36 24 35 30 24 27 25 32
PRA line DK line 26.5 (opened 27.5) • type another line to check it
cold: 20.4 PRA last 5 vs 26.3
21PRA
#VJ Edgecombe
76ers @ Knicks • 7:00 PM ET
TOSS-UPLess 52%
DraftKings line
20.5
vs
Our projection
20.6
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  12 pts + 6 reb + 3 ast

We think Edgecombe lands around 21, over DraftKings' 20.5. But so far DraftKings' lines have been more accurate than our model, so we only lean a little.

How confident?
coin flipslightleanstrong
Close to a coin flip. Fine to skip.
Why
  • Expected to play about 33 minutes, fewer than the 36 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 20.5 in 7 of his last 10 games (last season), which is why DraftKings set the line there.
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
42251120253315252221oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = DraftKings' line (20.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 15 and 26.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points12.0 ▼14.112% to score 20+
Rebounds5.6 ▼6.48% to grab 10+
Assists3.0 ▼3.42% to dish 8+
Threes1.8 ▼2.154% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: 76ers 114, Knicks 118 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The 76ers are 4.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 232.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
  • Deep roster: lots of teammates to share the ball with, so his scoring share is trimmed a little.
More details
Minutes: 33.4 projected (last 5 games 36.4, started 100% of them) • board grade C (on projected PRA) • DK line opened at 19.5 • spread +4.5, total 232.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#C
VJ Edgecombe G • PHI @ NY • 7:00 PM ET Starter
20.6 PRA projected • 12.0 / 5.6 / 3.0 • DK line 20.5 • model +0.1
Chances
15–26 PRA (middle 50%)
10+ 93%15+ 77%20+ 53%25+ 30%30+ 13%
leans on DK's line — the model gets a 10% say
Minutes
33.4 proj (-3.0)
last 5 36.4 • season 34.8 • started 100% of last 5
Points / threes
12.0 pts • 1.8 3PM
L10 14.1 / 2.1 • 20+ pts 12% • 2+ 3PM 54%
Rebounds / assists
5.6 reb • 3.0 ast
L10 6.4 / 3.4 • 10+ reb 8% • 8+ ast 2%
Environment
PHI implied 114.0 • spread +4.5
total 232.5 • road • rested • team shares -20%
Form (PRA, last 10)
23.9 avg • season 26.5
21 22 25 15 33 25 20 11 25 42
PRA line DK line 20.5 (opened 19.5) • type another line to check it
crowded offense: 114 implied points to go around (team shares -20%)
21PRA
#Tobias Harris
Spurs vs Thunder • 9:30 PM ET Day-To-Day
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
20.1
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  13 pts + 5 reb + 2 ast

We think Harris lands around 20. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 27 minutes, fewer than the 32 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 23.5 in 8 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
32263232412926291412oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (23.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 14 and 25.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points12.7 ▼18.614% to score 20+
Rebounds5.3 ▼7.17% to grab 10+
Assists2.1 ▲1.60% to dish 8+
Threes1.3 ▼1.541% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Spurs 117, Thunder 114 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Spurs are 2.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 231.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 27.0 projected (last 5 games 32.2, started 100% of them) • board grade C (on projected PRA) • spread -2.5, total 231.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#C
Tobias Harris F • SA vs OKC • 9:30 PM ET BenchDay-To-Day
20.1 PRA projected • 12.7 / 5.3 / 2.1 • boost -2.9 vs L10
Chances
14–25 PRA (middle 50%)
10+ 91%15+ 74%20+ 51%25+ 28%30+ 13%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
27.0 proj (-5.2)
last 5 32.2 • season 29.7 • started 100% of last 5
Points / threes
12.7 pts • 1.3 3PM
L10 18.6 / 1.5 • 20+ pts 14% • 2+ 3PM 41%
Rebounds / assists
5.3 reb • 2.1 ast
L10 7.1 / 1.6 • 10+ reb 7% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
SA implied 117.0 • spread -2.5
total 231.5 • home • rested • team shares -6%
Form (PRA, last 10)
27.3 avg • season 23.0
12 14 29 26 29 41 32 32 26 32
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 23.5: More 32%
minutes down: 27 projected vs 32 last 5 (crowded rotation) · new team: role assumed from DET · Day-To-Day
20PRA
#Devin Vassell
Spurs vs Thunder • 9:30 PM ET
TOSS-UPLess 52%
DraftKings line
18.5
vs
Our projection
20.1
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  13 pts + 5 reb + 3 ast

We think Vassell lands around 20, over DraftKings' 18.5. But so far DraftKings' lines have been more accurate than our model, so we only lean a little.

How confident?
coin flipslightleanstrong
Close to a coin flip. Fine to skip.
Why
  • Expected to play about 32 minutes, fewer than the 38 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 18.5 in 7 of his last 10 games (last season), which is why DraftKings set the line there.
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
29221415202128152721oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = DraftKings' line (18.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 13 and 24.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points12.912.615% to score 20+
Rebounds4.6 ▼5.84% to grab 10+
Assists2.62.81% to dish 8+
Threes2.72.674% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Spurs 117, Thunder 114 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Spurs are 2.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 231.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 32.4 projected (last 5 games 38.2, started 100% of them) • board grade C (on projected PRA) • DK line opened at 18.5 • spread -2.5, total 231.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#C
Devin Vassell G • SA vs OKC • 9:30 PM ET Starter
20.1 PRA projected • 12.9 / 4.6 / 2.6 • DK line 18.5 • model +1.6
Chances
13–24 PRA (middle 50%)
10+ 89%15+ 69%20+ 43%25+ 22%30+ 9%
leans on DK's line — the model gets a 10% say
Minutes
32.4 proj (-5.8)
last 5 38.2 • season 32.9 • started 100% of last 5
Points / threes
12.9 pts • 2.7 3PM
L10 12.6 / 2.6 • 20+ pts 15% • 2+ 3PM 74%
Rebounds / assists
4.6 reb • 2.6 ast
L10 5.8 / 2.8 • 10+ reb 4% • 8+ ast 1%
Environment
SA implied 117.0 • spread -2.5
total 231.5 • home • rested • team shares -6%
Form (PRA, last 10)
21.2 avg • season 20.3
21 27 15 28 21 20 15 14 22 29
PRA line DK line 18.5 • type another line to check it
minutes down: 32 projected vs 38 last 5 (crowded rotation)
20PRA
#Dylan Harper
Spurs vs Thunder • 9:30 PM ET
TOSS-UPLess 54%
DraftKings line
23.5
vs
Our projection
18.8
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  12 pts + 4 reb + 3 ast

We think Harper lands around 19, under DraftKings' 23.5. But so far DraftKings' lines have been more accurate than our model, so we only lean a little.

How confident?
coin flipslightleanstrong
Close to a coin flip. Fine to skip.
Why
  • Expected to play about 23 minutes, fewer than the 31 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 23.5 in 6 of his last 10 games (last season), which is why DraftKings set the line there.
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
11141428222524262834oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = DraftKings' line (23.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 17 and 28.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points11.6 ▼13.810% to score 20+
Rebounds4.1 ▼5.92% to grab 10+
Assists3.12.92% to dish 8+
Threes1.1 ▼1.333% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Spurs 117, Thunder 114 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Spurs are 2.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 231.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 23.2 projected (last 5 games 31.0, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • DK line opened at 23.5 • spread -2.5, total 231.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Dylan Harper G • SA vs OKC • 9:30 PM ET BenchLESS -4.7 vs DK
18.8 PRA projected • 11.6 / 4.1 / 3.1 • DK line 23.5 • model -4.7
Chances
17–28 PRA (middle 50%)
15+ 85%20+ 65%25+ 41%30+ 21%35+ 9%
leans on DK's line — the model gets a 10% say
Minutes
23.2 proj (-7.8)
last 5 31.0 • season 25.8 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
11.6 pts • 1.1 3PM
L10 13.8 / 1.3 • 20+ pts 10% • 2+ 3PM 33%
Rebounds / assists
4.1 reb • 3.1 ast
L10 5.9 / 2.9 • 10+ reb 2% • 8+ ast 2%
Environment
SA implied 117.0 • spread -2.5
total 231.5 • home • rested • team shares -6%
Form (PRA, last 10)
22.6 avg • season 22.3
34 28 26 24 25 22 28 14 14 11
PRA line DK line 23.5 • type another line to check it
minutes down: 23 projected vs 31 last 5 (crowded rotation) · hot: 27.4 PRA last 5 vs 22.3
19PRA
#Mikal Bridges
Knicks vs 76ers • 7:00 PM ET
TOSS-UPLess 53%
DraftKings line
19.5
vs
Our projection
18.7
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  12 pts + 3 reb + 3 ast

We think Bridges lands around 19, under DraftKings' 19.5. But so far DraftKings' lines have been more accurate than our model, so we only lean a little.

How confident?
coin flipslightleanstrong
Close to a coin flip. Fine to skip.
Why
  • Expected to play about 29 minutes, fewer than the 33 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 19.5 in 7 of his last 10 games (last season), which is why DraftKings set the line there.
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
2722242523153291120oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = DraftKings' line (19.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 14 and 24.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points12.3 ▼13.913% to score 20+
Rebounds3.33.61% to grab 10+
Assists3.13.32% to dish 8+
Threes1.51.447% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Knicks 118, 76ers 114 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Knicks are 4.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 232.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 28.8 projected (last 5 games 33.0, started 100% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • DK line opened at 20.5 • spread -4.5, total 232.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Mikal Bridges G • NY vs PHI • 7:00 PM ET Starter
18.7 PRA projected • 12.3 / 3.3 / 3.1 • DK line 19.5 • model -0.8
Chances
14–24 PRA (middle 50%)
10+ 91%15+ 72%20+ 47%25+ 25%30+ 10%
leans on DK's line — the model gets a 10% say
Minutes
28.8 proj (-4.2)
last 5 33.0 • season 31.2 • started 100% of last 5
Points / threes
12.3 pts • 1.5 3PM
L10 13.9 / 1.4 • 20+ pts 13% • 2+ 3PM 47%
Rebounds / assists
3.3 reb • 3.1 ast
L10 3.6 / 3.3 • 10+ reb 1% • 8+ ast 2%
Environment
NY implied 118.5 • spread -4.5
total 232.5 • home • rested • team shares +1%
Form (PRA, last 10)
20.8 avg • season 18.3
20 11 9 32 15 23 25 24 22 27
PRA line DK line 19.5 (opened 20.5) • type another line to check it
minutes down: 29 projected vs 33 last 5 (crowded rotation)
19PRA
#Neemias Queta
Celtics @ Pistons • 3:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
18.1
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  10 pts + 7 reb + 1 ast

We think Queta lands around 18. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • He went over 20.5 in 3 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
20221916141318231530oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (20.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 13 and 23.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points9.69.45% to score 20+
Rebounds7.2 ▼8.522% to grab 10+
Assists1.3 ▲1.10% to dish 8+
Threes0.1 ▼0.11% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Celtics 112, Pistons 110 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Celtics are 1.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 222.5 is lower-scoring than an average game (229): fewer possessions, fewer stats for everyone.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 23.0 projected (last 5 games 21.8, started 80% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread -1.5, total 222.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Neemias Queta C • BOS @ DET • 3:00 PM ET Starter
18.1 PRA projected • 9.6 / 7.2 / 1.3 • boost -2.5 vs L10
Chances
13–23 PRA (middle 50%)
10+ 87%15+ 66%20+ 41%25+ 20%30+ 8%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
23.0 proj (+1.2)
last 5 21.8 • season 25.2 • started 80% of last 5
Points / threes
9.6 pts • 0.1 3PM
L10 9.4 / 0.1 • 20+ pts 5% • 2+ 3PM 1%
Rebounds / assists
7.2 reb • 1.3 ast
L10 8.5 / 1.1 • 10+ reb 22% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
BOS implied 112.0 • spread -1.5
total 222.5 • road • rested • team shares +2%
Form (PRA, last 10)
19.0 avg • season 20.7
30 15 23 18 13 14 16 19 22 20
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 20.5: More 36%
Nothing unusual tonight -- this is his baseline.
18PRA
#Ajay Mitchell
Thunder @ Spurs • 9:30 PM ET
TOSS-UPLess 53%
DraftKings line
18.5
vs
Our projection
17.8
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  12 pts + 3 reb + 3 ast

We think Mitchell lands around 18, under DraftKings' 18.5. But so far DraftKings' lines have been more accurate than our model, so we only lean a little.

How confident?
coin flipslightleanstrong
Close to a coin flip. Fine to skip.
Why
  • Expected to play about 24 minutes, fewer than the 28 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 18.5 in 7 of his last 10 games (last season), which is why DraftKings set the line there.
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
2423322429383513128oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = DraftKings' line (18.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 13 and 23.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points11.7 ▼15.711% to score 20+
Rebounds3.0 ▼3.61% to grab 10+
Assists3.1 ▼4.52% to dish 8+
Threes1.3 ▲1.039% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Thunder 114, Spurs 117 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Thunder are 2.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 231.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 24.1 projected (last 5 games 28.4, started 60% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • DK line opened at 18.5 • spread +2.5, total 231.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Ajay Mitchell G • OKC @ SA • 9:30 PM ET Starter
17.8 PRA projected • 11.7 / 3.0 / 3.1 • DK line 18.5 • model -0.7
Chances
13–23 PRA (middle 50%)
10+ 88%15+ 68%20+ 42%25+ 21%30+ 8%
leans on DK's line — the model gets a 10% say
Minutes
24.1 proj (-4.3)
last 5 28.4 • season 26.3 • started 60% of last 5
Points / threes
11.7 pts • 1.3 3PM
L10 15.7 / 1.0 • 20+ pts 11% • 2+ 3PM 39%
Rebounds / assists
3.0 reb • 3.1 ast
L10 3.6 / 4.5 • 10+ reb 1% • 8+ ast 2%
Environment
OKC implied 114.5 • spread +2.5
total 231.5 • road • rested • team shares -7%
Form (PRA, last 10)
23.8 avg • season 20.8
8 12 13 35 38 29 24 32 23 24
PRA line DK line 18.5 • type another line to check it
minutes down: 24 projected vs 28 last 5 (crowded rotation)
18PRA
#Ausar Thompson
Pistons vs Celtics • 3:00 PM ET
TOSS-UPLess 54%
DraftKings line
20.5
vs
Our projection
17.6
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  9 pts + 6 reb + 3 ast

We think Thompson lands around 18, under DraftKings' 20.5. But so far DraftKings' lines have been more accurate than our model, so we only lean a little.

How confident?
coin flipslightleanstrong
Close to a coin flip. Fine to skip.
Why
  • He went over 20.5 in 5 of his last 10 games (last season), which is why DraftKings set the line there.
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
2816272016242192312oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = DraftKings' line (20.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 15 and 25.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points8.78.03% to score 20+
Rebounds6.0 ▼8.112% to grab 10+
Assists2.9 ▼3.51% to dish 8+
Threes0.2 ▲0.12% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Pistons 110, Celtics 112 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Pistons are 1.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 222.5 is lower-scoring than an average game (229): fewer possessions, fewer stats for everyone.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 26.5 projected (last 5 games 26.8, started 100% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • DK line opened at 19.5 • spread +1.5, total 222.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Ausar Thompson G • DET vs BOS • 3:00 PM ET Starter
17.6 PRA projected • 8.7 / 6.0 / 2.9 • DK line 20.5 • model -2.9
Chances
15–25 PRA (middle 50%)
10+ 92%15+ 75%20+ 51%25+ 28%30+ 12%
leans on DK's line — the model gets a 10% say
Minutes
26.5 proj (-0.3)
last 5 26.8 • season 27.6 • started 100% of last 5
Points / threes
8.7 pts • 0.2 3PM
L10 8.0 / 0.1 • 20+ pts 3% • 2+ 3PM 2%
Rebounds / assists
6.0 reb • 2.9 ast
L10 8.1 / 3.5 • 10+ reb 12% • 8+ ast 1%
Environment
DET implied 110.5 • spread +1.5
total 222.5 • home • rested • team shares -6%
Form (PRA, last 10)
19.6 avg • season 18.3
12 23 9 21 24 16 20 27 16 28
PRA line DK line 20.5 (opened 19.5) • type another line to check it
Nothing unusual tonight -- this is his baseline.
18PRA
#Julian Champagnie
Spurs vs Thunder • 9:30 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
17.3
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  10 pts + 6 reb + 1 ast

We think Champagnie lands around 17. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 28 minutes, fewer than the 32 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 18.5 in 4 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
1783118272713161322oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (18.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 12 and 22.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points10.3 ▼11.97% to score 20+
Rebounds5.65.68% to grab 10+
Assists1.5 ▼1.70% to dish 8+
Threes2.6 ▼2.972% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Spurs 117, Thunder 114 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Spurs are 2.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 231.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 27.9 projected (last 5 games 31.6, started 100% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread -2.5, total 231.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Julian Champagnie F • SA vs OKC • 9:30 PM ET Starter
17.3 PRA projected • 10.3 / 5.6 / 1.5 • boost -0.9 vs L10
Chances
12–22 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 97%10+ 85%15+ 62%20+ 37%25+ 17%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
27.9 proj (-3.7)
last 5 31.6 • season 29.2 • started 100% of last 5
Points / threes
10.3 pts • 2.6 3PM
L10 11.9 / 2.9 • 20+ pts 7% • 2+ 3PM 72%
Rebounds / assists
5.6 reb • 1.5 ast
L10 5.6 / 1.7 • 10+ reb 8% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
SA implied 117.0 • spread -2.5
total 231.5 • home • rested • team shares -6%
Form (PRA, last 10)
19.2 avg • season 18.2
22 13 16 13 27 27 18 31 8 17
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 18.5: More 42%
minutes down: 28 projected vs 32 last 5 (crowded rotation)
17PRA
#John Collins
Pistons vs Celtics • 3:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
17.0
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  11 pts + 5 reb + 1 ast

We think Collins lands around 17. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • He went over 21.5 in 5 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
512282421312024227oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (21.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 11 and 22.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points11.412.610% to score 20+
Rebounds4.8 ▼5.74% to grab 10+
Assists0.8 ▼1.10% to dish 8+
Threes1.11.032% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Pistons 110, Celtics 112 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Pistons are 1.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 222.5 is lower-scoring than an average game (229): fewer possessions, fewer stats for everyone.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 23.6 projected (last 5 games 22.6, started 40% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread +1.5, total 222.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
John Collins F • DET vs BOS • 3:00 PM ET BenchLESS -4.1 vs avg
17.0 PRA projected • 11.4 / 4.8 / 0.8 • boost -4.1 vs L10
Chances
11–22 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 96%10+ 82%15+ 59%20+ 35%25+ 17%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
23.6 proj (+1.0)
last 5 22.6 • season 27.0 • started 40% of last 5
Points / threes
11.4 pts • 1.1 3PM
L10 12.6 / 1.0 • 20+ pts 10% • 2+ 3PM 32%
Rebounds / assists
4.8 reb • 0.8 ast
L10 5.7 / 1.1 • 10+ reb 4% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
DET implied 110.5 • spread +1.5
total 222.5 • home • rested • team shares -6%
Form (PRA, last 10)
19.4 avg • season 21.1
27 2 24 20 31 21 24 28 12 5
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 21.5: More 27%
new team: role assumed from LAC
17PRA
#Daniss Jenkins
Pistons vs Celtics • 3:00 PM ET
TOSS-UPLess 52%
DraftKings line
16.5
vs
Our projection
16.8
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  10 pts + 3 reb + 4 ast

We think Jenkins lands around 17, over DraftKings' 16.5. But so far DraftKings' lines have been more accurate than our model, so we only lean a little.

How confident?
coin flipslightleanstrong
Close to a coin flip. Fine to skip.
Why
  • Expected to play about 24 minutes, fewer than the 27 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 16.5 in 4 of his last 10 games (last season), which is why DraftKings set the line there.
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
798112422682125oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = DraftKings' line (16.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 11 and 21.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points10.0 ▲8.56% to score 20+
Rebounds2.8 ▲2.50% to grab 10+
Assists3.9 ▲3.16% to dish 8+
Threes1.11.134% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Pistons 110, Celtics 112 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Pistons are 1.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 222.5 is lower-scoring than an average game (229): fewer possessions, fewer stats for everyone.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 23.8 projected (last 5 games 26.6, started 40% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • DK line opened at 16.5 • spread +1.5, total 222.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Daniss Jenkins G • DET vs BOS • 3:00 PM ET Starter
16.8 PRA projected • 10.0 / 2.8 / 3.9 • DK line 16.5 • model +0.3
Chances
11–21 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 96%10+ 83%15+ 58%20+ 33%25+ 14%
leans on DK's line — the model gets a 10% say
Minutes
23.8 proj (-2.8)
last 5 26.6 • season 24.1 • started 40% of last 5
Points / threes
10.0 pts • 1.1 3PM
L10 8.5 / 1.1 • 20+ pts 6% • 2+ 3PM 34%
Rebounds / assists
2.8 reb • 3.9 ast
L10 2.5 / 3.1 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 6%
Environment
DET implied 110.5 • spread +1.5
total 222.5 • home • rested • team shares -6%
Form (PRA, last 10)
14.1 avg • season 17.4
25 21 8 6 22 24 11 8 9 7
PRA line DK line 16.5 • type another line to check it
Nothing unusual tonight -- this is his baseline.
17PRA
#Isaiah Hartenstein
Thunder @ Spurs • 9:30 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
16.3
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  7 pts + 7 reb + 2 ast

We think Hartenstein lands around 16. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 19 minutes, fewer than the 21 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 19.5 in 6 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
2023206261722311812oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (19.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 11 and 21.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points6.8 ▼8.51% to score 20+
Rebounds7.2 ▼8.322% to grab 10+
Assists2.3 ▼2.70% to dish 8+
Threes0.10.01% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Thunder 114, Spurs 117 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Thunder are 2.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 231.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 19.3 projected (last 5 games 21.4, started 100% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread +2.5, total 231.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Isaiah Hartenstein C • OKC @ SA • 9:30 PM ET BenchLESS -3.5 vs avg
16.3 PRA projected • 6.8 / 7.2 / 2.3 • boost -3.5 vs L10
Chances
11–21 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 95%10+ 80%15+ 56%20+ 32%25+ 15%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
19.3 proj (-2.1)
last 5 21.4 • season 22.2 • started 100% of last 5
Points / threes
6.8 pts • 0.1 3PM
L10 8.5 / 0.0 • 20+ pts 1% • 2+ 3PM 1%
Rebounds / assists
7.2 reb • 2.3 ast
L10 8.3 / 2.7 • 10+ reb 22% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
OKC implied 114.5 • spread +2.5
total 231.5 • road • rested • team shares -7%
Form (PRA, last 10)
19.5 avg • season 19.8
12 18 31 22 17 26 6 20 23 20
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 19.5: More 32%
Nothing unusual tonight -- this is his baseline.
16PRA
#Duncan Robinson
Pistons vs Celtics • 3:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
14.7
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  11 pts + 2 reb + 2 ast

We think Robinson lands around 15. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 25 minutes, fewer than the 27 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 17.5 in 5 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
138162219212261815oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (17.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 9 and 19.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points10.5 ▼11.87% to score 20+
Rebounds2.4 ▲2.20% to grab 10+
Assists1.7 ▼2.00% to dish 8+
Threes2.4 ▼3.069% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Pistons 110, Celtics 112 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Pistons are 1.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 222.5 is lower-scoring than an average game (229): fewer possessions, fewer stats for everyone.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 24.9 projected (last 5 games 27.0, started 60% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread +1.5, total 222.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Duncan Robinson F • DET vs BOS • 3:00 PM ET Starter
14.7 PRA projected • 10.5 / 2.4 / 1.7 • boost -2.3 vs L10
Chances
9–19 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 93%10+ 75%15+ 48%20+ 25%25+ 10%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
24.9 proj (-2.1)
last 5 27.0 • season 26.8 • started 60% of last 5
Points / threes
10.5 pts • 2.4 3PM
L10 11.8 / 3.0 • 20+ pts 7% • 2+ 3PM 69%
Rebounds / assists
2.4 reb • 1.7 ast
L10 2.2 / 2.0 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
DET implied 110.5 • spread +1.5
total 222.5 • home • rested • team shares -6%
Form (PRA, last 10)
16.0 avg • season 17.0
15 18 6 22 21 19 22 16 8 13
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 17.5: More 33%
Nothing unusual tonight -- this is his baseline.
15PRA
#Sam Hauser
Celtics @ Pistons • 3:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
12.8
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  9 pts + 3 reb + 1 ast

We think Hauser lands around 13. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • He went over 14.5 in 3 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
1311342111911131015oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (14.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 8 and 17.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points8.58.93% to score 20+
Rebounds3.2 ▼4.31% to grab 10+
Assists1.1 ▼1.60% to dish 8+
Threes2.1 ▼2.762% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Celtics 112, Pistons 110 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Celtics are 1.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 222.5 is lower-scoring than an average game (229): fewer possessions, fewer stats for everyone.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 22.4 projected (last 5 games 22.2, started 80% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread -1.5, total 222.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Sam Hauser F • BOS @ DET • 3:00 PM ET Bench
12.8 PRA projected • 8.5 / 3.2 / 1.1 • boost -1.5 vs L10
Chances
8–17 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 90%10+ 66%15+ 38%20+ 17%25+ 6%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
22.4 proj (+0.2)
last 5 22.2 • season 25.9 • started 80% of last 5
Points / threes
8.5 pts • 2.1 3PM
L10 8.9 / 2.7 • 20+ pts 3% • 2+ 3PM 62%
Rebounds / assists
3.2 reb • 1.1 ast
L10 4.3 / 1.6 • 10+ reb 1% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
BOS implied 112.0 • spread -1.5
total 222.5 • road • rested • team shares +2%
Form (PRA, last 10)
14.8 avg • season 14.3
15 10 13 11 9 11 21 34 11 13
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 14.5: More 38%
cold: 11.6 PRA last 5 vs 14.3
13PRA
#Anfernee Simons
76ers @ Knicks • 7:00 PM ET Day-To-Day
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
12.5
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  9 pts + 2 reb + 1 ast

We think Simons lands around 12. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 21 minutes, fewer than the 28 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 19.5 in 5 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
1414193127253313226oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (19.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 6 and 18.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points9.0 ▼15.84% to score 20+
Rebounds2.1 ▼2.40% to grab 10+
Assists1.3 ▼2.20% to dish 8+
Threes2.0 ▼2.860% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: 76ers 114, Knicks 118 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The 76ers are 4.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 232.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
  • Deep roster: lots of teammates to share the ball with, so his scoring share is trimmed a little.
More details
Minutes: 20.7 projected (last 5 games 27.6, started 80% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread +4.5, total 232.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Anfernee Simons G • PHI @ NY • 7:00 PM ET BenchLESS -7.1 vs avgDay-To-Day
12.5 PRA projected • 9.0 / 2.1 / 1.3 • boost -7.1 vs L10
Chances
6–18 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 83%10+ 60%15+ 37%20+ 19%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
20.7 proj (-6.9)
last 5 27.6 • season 25.1 • started 80% of last 5
Points / threes
9.0 pts • 2.0 3PM
L10 15.8 / 2.8 • 20+ pts 4% • 2+ 3PM 60%
Rebounds / assists
2.1 reb • 1.3 ast
L10 2.4 / 2.2 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
PHI implied 114.0 • spread +4.5
total 232.5 • road • rested • team shares -20%
Form (PRA, last 10)
20.4 avg • season 19.6
6 22 13 33 25 27 31 19 14 14
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 19.5: More 19%
crowded offense: 114 implied points to go around (team shares -20%) · new team: role assumed from CHI · Day-To-Day
12PRA
#Kevin Huerter
Pistons vs Celtics • 3:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
12.1
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  7 pts + 3 reb + 2 ast

We think Huerter lands around 12. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 18 minutes, more than the 12 he averaged in his last 5 games.
  • He went over 13.5 in 4 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
1318162511206461oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (13.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 7 and 16.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points7.36.82% to score 20+
Rebounds2.8 ▲2.40% to grab 10+
Assists1.9 ▼2.80% to dish 8+
Threes1.1 ▼1.433% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Pistons 110, Celtics 112 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Pistons are 1.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 222.5 is lower-scoring than an average game (229): fewer possessions, fewer stats for everyone.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 18.5 projected (last 5 games 12.4, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread +1.5, total 222.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Kevin Huerter G • DET vs BOS • 3:00 PM ET Bench
12.1 PRA projected • 7.3 / 2.8 / 1.9 • boost -1.3 vs L10
Chances
7–16 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 88%10+ 62%15+ 34%20+ 14%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
18.5 proj (+6.1)
last 5 12.4 • season 19.8 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
7.3 pts • 1.1 3PM
L10 6.8 / 1.4 • 20+ pts 2% • 2+ 3PM 33%
Rebounds / assists
2.8 reb • 1.9 ast
L10 2.4 / 2.8 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
DET implied 110.5 • spread +1.5
total 222.5 • home • rested • team shares -6%
Form (PRA, last 10)
12.0 avg • season 13.3
1 6 4 6 20 11 25 16 18 13
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 13.5: More 39%
minutes up: 18 projected vs 12 last 5 · cold: 7.4 PRA last 5 vs 13.3
12PRA
#Taurean Prince
Pistons vs Celtics • 3:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
11.9
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  8 pts + 3 reb + 1 ast

We think Prince lands around 12. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 20 minutes, fewer than the 31 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 14.5 in 8 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
21103210202531193321oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (14.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 7 and 16.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points7.7 ▼14.22% to score 20+
Rebounds2.9 ▼4.80% to grab 10+
Assists1.4 ▼3.20% to dish 8+
Threes1.8 ▼3.754% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Pistons 110, Celtics 112 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Pistons are 1.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 222.5 is lower-scoring than an average game (229): fewer possessions, fewer stats for everyone.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 20.2 projected (last 5 games 31.2, started 80% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread +1.5, total 222.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Taurean Prince F • DET vs BOS • 3:00 PM ET Bench
11.9 PRA projected • 7.7 / 2.9 / 1.4 • boost -2.1 vs L10
Chances
7–16 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 87%10+ 61%15+ 33%20+ 14%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
20.2 proj (-11.0)
last 5 31.2 • season 23.6 • started 80% of last 5
Points / threes
7.7 pts • 1.8 3PM
L10 14.2 / 3.7 • 20+ pts 2% • 2+ 3PM 54%
Rebounds / assists
2.9 reb • 1.4 ast
L10 4.8 / 3.2 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
DET implied 110.5 • spread +1.5
total 222.5 • home • rested • team shares -6%
Form (PRA, last 10)
22.2 avg • season 14.1
21 33 19 31 25 20 10 32 10 21
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 14.5: More 33%
minutes down: 20 projected vs 31 last 5 (crowded rotation) · hot: 25.8 PRA last 5 vs 14.1 · new team: role assumed from MIL
12PRA
#Andre Drummond
Knicks vs 76ers • 7:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
11.4
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  4 pts + 6 reb + 1 ast

We think Drummond lands around 11. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 14 minutes, more than the 9 he averaged in his last 5 games.
  • He went over 13.5 in 3 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
2018399231518oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (13.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 6 and 16.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points4.44.10% to score 20+
Rebounds6.0 ▲4.211% to grab 10+
Assists1.0 ▲0.50% to dish 8+
Threes0.40.47% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Knicks 118, 76ers 114 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Knicks are 4.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 232.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 13.5 projected (last 5 games 8.6, started 20% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread -4.5, total 232.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Andre Drummond C • NY vs PHI • 7:00 PM ET Bench
11.4 PRA projected • 4.4 / 6.0 / 1.0 • boost -2.3 vs L10
Chances
6–16 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 85%10+ 57%15+ 30%20+ 12%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
13.5 proj (+4.9)
last 5 8.6 • season 17.4 • started 20% of last 5
Points / threes
4.4 pts • 0.4 3PM
L10 4.1 / 0.4 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 7%
Rebounds / assists
6.0 reb • 1.0 ast
L10 4.2 / 0.5 • 10+ reb 11% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
NY implied 118.5 • spread -4.5
total 232.5 • home • rested • team shares +1%
Form (PRA, last 10)
8.8 avg • season 13.7
8 1 15 3 2 9 9 3 18 20
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 13.5: More 35%
minutes up: 14 projected vs 9 last 5 · cold: 5.8 PRA last 5 vs 13.7 · new team: role assumed from PHI
11PRA
#Cason Wallace
Thunder @ Spurs • 9:30 PM ET Day-To-Day
SLIGHT LEAN LESSLess 55%
DraftKings line
16.5
vs
Our projection
11.2
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  7 pts + 3 reb + 2 ast

We think Wallace lands around 11, under DraftKings' 16.5. But so far DraftKings' lines have been more accurate than our model, so we only lean a little.

How confident?
coin flipslightleanstrong
A small edge at best.
Why
  • Expected to play about 21 minutes, fewer than the 27 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 16.5 in 5 of his last 10 games (last season), which is why DraftKings set the line there.
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
1818514202010161528oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = DraftKings' line (16.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 11 and 21.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points6.7 ▼10.21% to score 20+
Rebounds2.6 ▼3.80% to grab 10+
Assists1.8 ▼2.40% to dish 8+
Threes1.5 ▼2.547% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Thunder 114, Spurs 117 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Thunder are 2.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 231.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 21.2 projected (last 5 games 27.2, started 40% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • DK line opened at 16.5 • spread +2.5, total 231.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Cason Wallace G • OKC @ SA • 9:30 PM ET StarterLESS -5.3 vs DKDay-To-Day
11.2 PRA projected • 6.7 / 2.6 / 1.8 • DK line 16.5 • model -5.3
Chances
11–21 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 96%10+ 81%15+ 55%20+ 30%25+ 13%
leans on DK's line — the model gets a 10% say
Minutes
21.2 proj (-6.0)
last 5 27.2 • season 25.8 • started 40% of last 5
Points / threes
6.7 pts • 1.5 3PM
L10 10.2 / 2.5 • 20+ pts 1% • 2+ 3PM 47%
Rebounds / assists
2.6 reb • 1.8 ast
L10 3.8 / 2.4 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
OKC implied 114.5 • spread +2.5
total 231.5 • road • rested • team shares -7%
Form (PRA, last 10)
16.4 avg • season 15.5
28 15 16 10 20 20 14 5 18 18
PRA line DK line 16.5 • type another line to check it
minutes down: 21 projected vs 27 last 5 (crowded rotation) · hot: 17.8 PRA last 5 vs 15.5 · Day-To-Day
11PRA
#Baylor Scheierman
Celtics @ Pistons • 3:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
10.8
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  6 pts + 3 reb + 1 ast

We think Scheierman lands around 11. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 19 minutes, more than the 14 he averaged in his last 5 games.
  • He went over 14.5 in 2 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
241344761011398oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (14.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 6 and 15.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points6.2 ▼8.91% to score 20+
Rebounds3.23.31% to grab 10+
Assists1.41.30% to dish 8+
Threes1.3 ▼2.240% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Celtics 112, Pistons 110 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Celtics are 1.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 222.5 is lower-scoring than an average game (229): fewer possessions, fewer stats for everyone.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 19.1 projected (last 5 games 14.4, started 20% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread -1.5, total 222.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Baylor Scheierman G • BOS @ DET • 3:00 PM ET BenchLESS -4.0 vs avg
10.8 PRA projected • 6.2 / 3.2 / 1.4 • boost -4.0 vs L10
Chances
6–15 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 81%10+ 53%15+ 28%20+ 12%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
19.1 proj (+4.7)
last 5 14.4 • season 23.7 • started 20% of last 5
Points / threes
6.2 pts • 1.3 3PM
L10 8.9 / 2.2 • 20+ pts 1% • 2+ 3PM 40%
Rebounds / assists
3.2 reb • 1.4 ast
L10 3.3 / 1.3 • 10+ reb 1% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
BOS implied 112.0 • spread -1.5
total 222.5 • road • rested • team shares +2%
Form (PRA, last 10)
13.5 avg • season 14.8
8 9 3 11 10 6 7 44 13 24
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 14.5: More 28%
minutes up: 19 projected vs 14 last 5 · cold: 8.2 PRA last 5 vs 14.8
11PRA
#Alex Caruso
Thunder @ Spurs • 9:30 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
10.2
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  6 pts + 2 reb + 1 ast

We think Caruso lands around 10. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 17 minutes, fewer than the 25 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 12.5 in 7 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
131014342519330721oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (12.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 5 and 14.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points6.3 ▼12.41% to score 20+
Rebounds2.42.70% to grab 10+
Assists1.5 ▼2.50% to dish 8+
Threes1.4 ▼2.443% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Thunder 114, Spurs 117 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Thunder are 2.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 231.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 17.3 projected (last 5 games 25.2, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread +2.5, total 231.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Alex Caruso G • OKC @ SA • 9:30 PM ET Bench
10.2 PRA projected • 6.3 / 2.4 / 1.5 • boost -2.5 vs L10
Chances
5–14 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 80%10+ 50%15+ 24%20+ 9%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
17.3 proj (-7.9)
last 5 25.2 • season 19.9 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
6.3 pts • 1.4 3PM
L10 12.4 / 2.4 • 20+ pts 1% • 2+ 3PM 43%
Rebounds / assists
2.4 reb • 1.5 ast
L10 2.7 / 2.5 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
OKC implied 114.5 • spread +2.5
total 231.5 • road • rested • team shares -7%
Form (PRA, last 10)
17.6 avg • season 12.6
21 7 30 3 19 25 34 14 10 13
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 12.5: More 33%
minutes down: 17 projected vs 25 last 5 (crowded rotation) · hot: 16.0 PRA last 5 vs 12.6
10PRA
#Miles McBride
Knicks vs 76ers • 7:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
9.8
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  7 pts + 2 reb + 2 ast

We think McBride lands around 10. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 16 minutes, more than the 13 he averaged in his last 5 games.
  • He went over 13.5 in 2 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
52931215119001oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (13.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 5 and 14.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points6.8 ▲5.51% to score 20+
Rebounds1.51.50% to grab 10+
Assists1.51.50% to dish 8+
Threes1.51.547% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Knicks 118, 76ers 114 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Knicks are 4.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 232.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 16.1 projected (last 5 games 13.2, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread -4.5, total 232.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Miles McBride G • NY vs PHI • 7:00 PM ET BenchLESS -3.2 vs avg
9.8 PRA projected • 6.8 / 1.5 / 1.5 • boost -3.2 vs L10
Chances
5–14 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 78%10+ 48%15+ 23%20+ 9%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
16.1 proj (+2.9)
last 5 13.2 • season 22.0 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
6.8 pts • 1.5 3PM
L10 5.5 / 1.5 • 20+ pts 1% • 2+ 3PM 47%
Rebounds / assists
1.5 reb • 1.5 ast
L10 1.5 / 1.5 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
NY implied 118.5 • spread -4.5
total 232.5 • home • rested • team shares +1%
Form (PRA, last 10)
8.5 avg • season 13.0
1 0 0 9 11 15 12 3 29 5
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 13.5: More 27%
cold: 4.2 PRA last 5 vs 13.0
10PRA
#Keldon Johnson
Spurs vs Thunder • 9:30 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
9.8
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  6 pts + 3 reb + 1 ast

We think Johnson lands around 10. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • He went over 15.5 in 1 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
79211215399712oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (15.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 4 and 14.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points6.46.81% to score 20+
Rebounds2.73.00% to grab 10+
Assists0.7 ▲0.60% to dish 8+
Threes0.70.820% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Spurs 117, Thunder 114 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Spurs are 2.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 231.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 13.1 projected (last 5 games 15.0, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread -2.5, total 231.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Keldon Johnson F • SA vs OKC • 9:30 PM ET BenchLESS -5.8 vs avg
9.8 PRA projected • 6.4 / 2.7 / 0.7 • boost -5.8 vs L10
Chances
4–14 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 74%10+ 47%15+ 24%20+ 11%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
13.1 proj (-1.9)
last 5 15.0 • season 20.2 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
6.4 pts • 0.7 3PM
L10 6.8 / 0.8 • 20+ pts 1% • 2+ 3PM 20%
Rebounds / assists
2.7 reb • 0.7 ast
L10 3.0 / 0.6 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
SA implied 117.0 • spread -2.5
total 231.5 • home • rested • team shares -6%
Form (PRA, last 10)
10.4 avg • season 15.6
12 7 9 9 3 15 12 21 9 7
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 15.5: More 21%
cold: 8.0 PRA last 5 vs 15.6
10PRA
#Bennett Stirtz
Thunder @ Spurs • 9:30 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
9.7
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  6 pts + 2 reb + 1 ast

We think Stirtz lands around 10. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 16 minutes, fewer than the 27 he averaged in his last 5 preseason games (rookies play more in October). Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • No NBA games yet, so this is built from his 5 preseason games. Treat it as a rough guess.
Most nights he should land between 5 and 14.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10Chance
Points6.5-1% to score 20+
Rebounds1.8-0% to grab 10+
Assists1.5-0% to dish 8+
Threes1.4-43% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Thunder 114, Spurs 117 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Thunder are 2.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 231.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 16.3 projected (last 5 games 27.4, started 40% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread +2.5, total 231.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Bennett Stirtz G • OKC @ SA • 9:30 PM ET Bench
9.7 PRA projected • 6.5 / 1.8 / 1.5 • boost +0.0 vs L10
Chances
5–14 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 79%10+ 48%15+ 22%20+ 7%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
16.3 proj (-11.1)
last 5 27.4 • season 0.0 • started 40% of last 5
Points / threes
6.5 pts • 1.4 3PM
L10 0.0 / 0.0 • 20+ pts 1% • 2+ 3PM 43%
Rebounds / assists
1.8 reb • 1.5 ast
L10 0.0 / 0.0 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
OKC implied 114.5 • spread +2.5
total 231.5 • road • rested • team shares -7%
Form (PRA, last 10)
0.0 avg • season 0.0
no games
PRA line no DK line
minutes down: 16 projected vs 27 last 5 (crowded rotation) · no NBA games yet: role from 5 preseason games (21.2 PRA, 27 min) -- no line to compare against
10PRA
#Aday Mara
Thunder @ Spurs • 9:30 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
9.1
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  5 pts + 3 reb + 1 ast

We think Mara lands around 9. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 13 minutes, fewer than the 23 he averaged in his last 5 preseason games (rookies play more in October). Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • No NBA games yet, so this is built from his 5 preseason games. Treat it as a rough guess.
Most nights he should land between 5 and 13.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10Chance
Points4.9-1% to score 20+
Rebounds3.3-1% to grab 10+
Assists0.8-0% to dish 8+
Threes0.2-3% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Thunder 114, Spurs 117 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Thunder are 2.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 231.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 12.7 projected (last 5 games 23.2, started 60% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread +2.5, total 231.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Aday Mara C • OKC @ SA • 9:30 PM ET Bench
9.1 PRA projected • 4.9 / 3.3 / 0.8 • boost +0.0 vs L10
Chances
5–13 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 76%10+ 43%15+ 18%20+ 6%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
12.7 proj (-10.5)
last 5 23.2 • season 0.0 • started 60% of last 5
Points / threes
4.9 pts • 0.2 3PM
L10 0.0 / 0.0 • 20+ pts 1% • 2+ 3PM 3%
Rebounds / assists
3.3 reb • 0.8 ast
L10 0.0 / 0.0 • 10+ reb 1% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
OKC implied 114.5 • spread +2.5
total 231.5 • road • rested • team shares -7%
Form (PRA, last 10)
0.0 avg • season 0.0
no games
PRA line no DK line
minutes down: 13 projected vs 23 last 5 (crowded rotation) · no NBA games yet: role from 5 preseason games (23.8 PRA, 23 min) -- no line to compare against
9PRA
#Mitchell Robinson
Celtics @ Pistons • 3:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
8.8
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  4 pts + 5 reb + 0 ast

We think Robinson lands around 9. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • He went over 13.5 in 2 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
1212118188109814oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (13.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 4 and 13.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points3.9 ▼4.60% to score 20+
Rebounds4.6 ▼6.03% to grab 10+
Assists0.40.40% to dish 8+
Threes0.00.00% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Celtics 112, Pistons 110 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Celtics are 1.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 222.5 is lower-scoring than an average game (229): fewer possessions, fewer stats for everyone.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 11.8 projected (last 5 games 13.4, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread -1.5, total 222.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Mitchell Robinson C • BOS @ DET • 3:00 PM ET BenchLESS -5.2 vs avg
8.8 PRA projected • 3.9 / 4.6 / 0.4 • boost -5.2 vs L10
Chances
4–13 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 70%10+ 41%15+ 20%20+ 8%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
11.8 proj (-1.6)
last 5 13.4 • season 17.1 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
3.9 pts • 0.0 3PM
L10 4.6 / 0.0 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 0%
Rebounds / assists
4.6 reb • 0.4 ast
L10 6.0 / 0.4 • 10+ reb 3% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
BOS implied 112.0 • spread -1.5
total 222.5 • road • rested • team shares +2%
Form (PRA, last 10)
11.0 avg • season 14.0
14 8 9 10 8 18 8 11 12 12
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 13.5: More 23%
cold: 9.8 PRA last 5 vs 14.0 · new team: role assumed from NY
9PRA
#Elijah Harkless
Pistons vs Celtics • 3:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
8.8
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  5 pts + 2 reb + 2 ast

We think Harkless lands around 9. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 16 minutes, fewer than the 33 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 11.5 in 9 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
5161817352415191714oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (11.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 4 and 13.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points5.1 ▼10.81% to score 20+
Rebounds1.7 ▼3.10% to grab 10+
Assists2.0 ▼4.10% to dish 8+
Threes0.7 ▼1.418% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Pistons 110, Celtics 112 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Pistons are 1.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 222.5 is lower-scoring than an average game (229): fewer possessions, fewer stats for everyone.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 16.3 projected (last 5 games 33.2, started 100% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread +1.5, total 222.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Elijah Harkless G • DET vs BOS • 3:00 PM ET Bench
8.8 PRA projected • 5.1 / 1.7 / 2.0 • boost -3.0 vs L10
Chances
4–13 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 72%10+ 41%15+ 18%20+ 6%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
16.3 proj (-16.9)
last 5 33.2 • season 21.0 • started 100% of last 5
Points / threes
5.1 pts • 0.7 3PM
L10 10.8 / 1.4 • 20+ pts 1% • 2+ 3PM 18%
Rebounds / assists
1.7 reb • 2.0 ast
L10 3.1 / 4.1 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
DET implied 110.5 • spread +1.5
total 222.5 • home • rested • team shares -6%
Form (PRA, last 10)
18.0 avg • season 11.8
14 17 19 15 24 35 17 18 16 5
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 11.5: More 31%
minutes down: 16 projected vs 33 last 5 (crowded rotation) · hot: 17.8 PRA last 5 vs 11.8 · new team: role assumed from UTAH
9PRA
#Jaylin Williams
Thunder @ Spurs • 9:30 PM ET Day-To-Day
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
8.7
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  4 pts + 3 reb + 1 ast

We think Williams lands around 9. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 13 minutes, fewer than the 23 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 14.5 in 3 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
109131124781525oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (14.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 3 and 13.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points4.1 ▼5.50% to score 20+
Rebounds3.4 ▼4.41% to grab 10+
Assists1.1 ▼1.40% to dish 8+
Threes1.1 ▼1.334% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Thunder 114, Spurs 117 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Thunder are 2.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 231.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 12.5 projected (last 5 games 22.8, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread +2.5, total 231.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Jaylin Williams F • OKC @ SA • 9:30 PM ET BenchLESS -6.1 vs avgDay-To-Day
8.7 PRA projected • 4.1 / 3.4 / 1.1 • boost -6.1 vs L10
Chances
3–13 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 68%10+ 40%15+ 20%20+ 8%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
12.5 proj (-10.3)
last 5 22.8 • season 18.6 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
4.1 pts • 1.1 3PM
L10 5.5 / 1.3 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 34%
Rebounds / assists
3.4 reb • 1.1 ast
L10 4.4 / 1.4 • 10+ reb 1% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
OKC implied 114.5 • spread +2.5
total 231.5 • road • rested • team shares -7%
Form (PRA, last 10)
11.3 avg • season 14.8
25 15 8 7 24 11 3 1 9 10
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 14.5: More 20%
minutes down: 13 projected vs 23 last 5 (crowded rotation) · Day-To-Day
9PRA
#Landry Shamet
Knicks vs 76ers • 7:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
8.2
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  6 pts + 1 reb + 1 ast

We think Shamet lands around 8. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 15 minutes, fewer than the 24 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 9.5 in 6 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
1812104181417936oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (9.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 4 and 12.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points6.0 ▼8.61% to score 20+
Rebounds1.3 ▼1.80% to grab 10+
Assists0.9 ▲0.70% to dish 8+
Threes1.3 ▼2.140% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Knicks 118, 76ers 114 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Knicks are 4.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 232.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 15.4 projected (last 5 games 24.0, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread -4.5, total 232.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Landry Shamet G • NY vs PHI • 7:00 PM ET Bench
8.2 PRA projected • 6.0 / 1.3 / 0.9 • boost -1.6 vs L10
Chances
4–12 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 70%10+ 38%15+ 15%20+ 5%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
15.4 proj (-8.6)
last 5 24.0 • season 20.5 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
6.0 pts • 1.3 3PM
L10 8.6 / 2.1 • 20+ pts 1% • 2+ 3PM 40%
Rebounds / assists
1.3 reb • 0.9 ast
L10 1.8 / 0.7 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
NY implied 118.5 • spread -4.5
total 232.5 • home • rested • team shares +1%
Form (PRA, last 10)
11.1 avg • season 9.9
6 3 9 17 14 18 4 10 12 18
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 9.5: More 38%
minutes down: 15 projected vs 24 last 5 (crowded rotation)
8PRA
#Jared McCain
Thunder @ Spurs • 9:30 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
8.2
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  6 pts + 1 reb + 1 ast

We think McCain lands around 8. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 13 minutes, fewer than the 27 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 13.5 in 6 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
184151021296232113oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (13.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 3 and 12.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points6.1 ▼12.61% to score 20+
Rebounds1.4 ▼2.20% to grab 10+
Assists0.7 ▼1.20% to dish 8+
Threes1.4 ▼2.142% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Thunder 114, Spurs 117 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Thunder are 2.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 231.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 12.7 projected (last 5 games 26.8, started 40% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread +2.5, total 231.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Jared McCain G • OKC @ SA • 9:30 PM ET BenchLESS -5.4 vs avg
8.2 PRA projected • 6.1 / 1.4 / 0.7 • boost -5.4 vs L10
Chances
3–12 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 66%10+ 38%15+ 18%20+ 7%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
12.7 proj (-14.1)
last 5 26.8 • season 18.1 • started 40% of last 5
Points / threes
6.1 pts • 1.4 3PM
L10 12.6 / 2.1 • 20+ pts 1% • 2+ 3PM 42%
Rebounds / assists
1.4 reb • 0.7 ast
L10 2.2 / 1.2 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
OKC implied 114.5 • spread +2.5
total 231.5 • road • rested • team shares -7%
Form (PRA, last 10)
16.0 avg • season 13.6
13 21 23 6 29 21 10 15 4 18
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 13.5: More 21%
minutes down: 13 projected vs 27 last 5 (crowded rotation) · hot: 18.4 PRA last 5 vs 13.6
8PRA
#Luka Garza
Celtics @ Pistons • 3:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
7.7
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  5 pts + 2 reb + 0 ast

We think Garza lands around 8. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • He went over 12.5 in 2 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
722401056115120oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (12.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 3 and 12.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points5.2 ▼7.41% to score 20+
Rebounds2.1 ▼3.40% to grab 10+
Assists0.5 ▼1.00% to dish 8+
Threes0.4 ▼0.710% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Celtics 112, Pistons 110 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Celtics are 1.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 222.5 is lower-scoring than an average game (229): fewer possessions, fewer stats for everyone.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 9.9 projected (last 5 games 8.8, started 20% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread -1.5, total 222.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Luka Garza C • BOS @ DET • 3:00 PM ET BenchLESS -4.4 vs avg
7.7 PRA projected • 5.2 / 2.1 / 0.5 • boost -4.4 vs L10
Chances
3–12 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 65%10+ 35%15+ 15%20+ 5%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
9.9 proj (+1.1)
last 5 8.8 • season 14.5 • started 20% of last 5
Points / threes
5.2 pts • 0.4 3PM
L10 7.4 / 0.7 • 20+ pts 1% • 2+ 3PM 10%
Rebounds / assists
2.1 reb • 0.5 ast
L10 3.4 / 1.0 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
BOS implied 112.0 • spread -1.5
total 222.5 • road • rested • team shares +2%
Form (PRA, last 10)
11.8 avg • season 12.2
0 12 5 11 6 5 10 40 22 7
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 12.5: More 22%
cold: 6.8 PRA last 5 vs 12.2
8PRA
#Paul Reed
Pistons vs Celtics • 3:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
7.6
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  4 pts + 3 reb + 1 ast

We think Reed lands around 8. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • He went over 15.5 in 3 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
1135091201421249oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (15.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 2 and 12.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points4.4 ▼8.70% to score 20+
Rebounds2.6 ▼4.10% to grab 10+
Assists0.5 ▼0.70% to dish 8+
Threes0.1 ▼0.22% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Pistons 110, Celtics 112 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Pistons are 1.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 222.5 is lower-scoring than an average game (229): fewer possessions, fewer stats for everyone.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 8.2 projected (last 5 games 10.0, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread +1.5, total 222.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Paul Reed F • DET vs BOS • 3:00 PM ET BenchLESS -7.6 vs avg
7.6 PRA projected • 4.4 / 2.6 / 0.5 • boost -7.6 vs L10
Chances
2–12 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 59%10+ 35%15+ 17%20+ 8%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
8.2 proj (-1.8)
last 5 10.0 • season 14.6 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
4.4 pts • 0.1 3PM
L10 8.7 / 0.2 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 2%
Rebounds / assists
2.6 reb • 0.5 ast
L10 4.1 / 0.7 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
DET implied 110.5 • spread +1.5
total 222.5 • home • rested • team shares -6%
Form (PRA, last 10)
13.5 avg • season 15.2
9 24 21 14 0 12 9 0 35 11
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 15.5: More 15%
Nothing unusual tonight -- this is his baseline.
8PRA
#James Wiseman
Knicks vs 76ers • 7:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
7.2
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  4 pts + 3 reb + 1 ast

We think Wiseman lands around 7. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 12 minutes, fewer than the 15 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 6.5 in 2 of his last 4 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 4 games (PRA) (last season)
8934oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (6.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 3 and 11.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points3.9 ▲3.20% to score 20+
Rebounds2.6 ▲2.00% to grab 10+
Assists0.80.80% to dish 8+
Threes0.20.03% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Knicks 118, 76ers 114 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Knicks are 4.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 232.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 11.5 projected (last 5 games 14.8, started 25% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread -4.5, total 232.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
James Wiseman C • NY vs PHI • 7:00 PM ET Bench
7.2 PRA projected • 3.9 / 2.6 / 0.8 • boost +1.2 vs L10
Chances
3–11 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 64%10+ 31%15+ 11%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
11.5 proj (-3.2)
last 5 14.8 • season 14.8 • started 25% of last 5
Points / threes
3.9 pts • 0.2 3PM
L10 3.2 / 0.0 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 3%
Rebounds / assists
2.6 reb • 0.8 ast
L10 2.0 / 0.8 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
NY implied 118.5 • spread -4.5
total 232.5 • home • rested • team shares +1%
Form (PRA, last 10)
6.0 avg • season 6.0
4 3 9 8
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 6.5: More 50%
minutes down: 12 projected vs 15 last 5 (crowded rotation) · new team: role assumed from IND
7PRA
#Jordan Clarkson
Knicks vs 76ers • 7:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
7.1
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  5 pts + 1 reb + 1 ast

We think Clarkson lands around 7. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 10 minutes, more than the 8 he averaged in his last 5 games.
  • He went over 9.5 in 4 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
11121154411433oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (9.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 3 and 11.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points5.0 ▲4.11% to score 20+
Rebounds1.3 ▼2.00% to grab 10+
Assists0.8 ▲0.70% to dish 8+
Threes0.5 ▲0.411% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Knicks 118, 76ers 114 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Knicks are 4.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 232.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 10.4 projected (last 5 games 7.8, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread -4.5, total 232.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Jordan Clarkson G • NY vs PHI • 7:00 PM ET Bench
7.1 PRA projected • 5.0 / 1.3 / 0.8 • boost -2.1 vs L10
Chances
3–11 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 62%10+ 31%15+ 11%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
10.4 proj (+2.6)
last 5 7.8 • season 13.3 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
5.0 pts • 0.5 3PM
L10 4.1 / 0.4 • 20+ pts 1% • 2+ 3PM 11%
Rebounds / assists
1.3 reb • 0.8 ast
L10 2.0 / 0.7 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
NY implied 118.5 • spread -4.5
total 232.5 • home • rested • team shares +1%
Form (PRA, last 10)
6.8 avg • season 9.2
3 3 14 1 4 4 5 11 12 11
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 9.5: More 31%
cold: 5.0 PRA last 5 vs 9.2
7PRA
#Josh Dix
Thunder @ Spurs • 9:30 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
6.8
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  4 pts + 1 reb + 1 ast

We think Dix lands around 7. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 13 minutes, fewer than the 24 he averaged in his last 5 preseason games (rookies play more in October). Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • No NBA games yet, so this is built from his 5 preseason games. Treat it as a rough guess.
Most nights he should land between 3 and 10.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10Chance
Points4.3-0% to score 20+
Rebounds1.4-0% to grab 10+
Assists1.0-0% to dish 8+
Threes0.9-26% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Thunder 114, Spurs 117 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Thunder are 2.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 231.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 13.4 projected (last 5 games 24.0, started 20% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread +2.5, total 231.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Josh Dix G • OKC @ SA • 9:30 PM ET Bench
6.8 PRA projected • 4.3 / 1.4 / 1.0 • boost +0.0 vs L10
Chances
3–10 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 61%10+ 28%15+ 10%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
13.4 proj (-10.6)
last 5 24.0 • season 0.0 • started 20% of last 5
Points / threes
4.3 pts • 0.9 3PM
L10 0.0 / 0.0 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 26%
Rebounds / assists
1.4 reb • 1.0 ast
L10 0.0 / 0.0 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
OKC implied 114.5 • spread +2.5
total 231.5 • road • rested • team shares -7%
Form (PRA, last 10)
0.0 avg • season 0.0
no games
PRA line no DK line
minutes down: 13 projected vs 24 last 5 (crowded rotation) · no NBA games yet: role from 5 preseason games (11.4 PRA, 24 min) -- no line to compare against
7PRA
#Rayan Rupert
76ers @ Knicks • 7:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
6.7
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  3 pts + 3 reb + 1 ast

We think Rupert lands around 7. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 16 minutes, fewer than the 35 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 12.5 in 7 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
29162287209533238oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (12.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 2 and 11.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points3.3 ▼13.80% to score 20+
Rebounds2.8 ▼6.80% to grab 10+
Assists0.6 ▼2.80% to dish 8+
Threes0.7 ▼1.517% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: 76ers 114, Knicks 118 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The 76ers are 4.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 232.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
  • Deep roster: lots of teammates to share the ball with, so his scoring share is trimmed a little.
More details
Minutes: 15.5 projected (last 5 games 35.2, started 80% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread +4.5, total 232.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Rayan Rupert G • PHI @ NY • 7:00 PM ET BenchLESS -5.7 vs avg
6.7 PRA projected • 3.3 / 2.8 / 0.6 • boost -5.7 vs L10
Chances
2–11 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 57%10+ 30%15+ 13%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
15.5 proj (-19.7)
last 5 35.2 • season 21.6 • started 80% of last 5
Points / threes
3.3 pts • 0.7 3PM
L10 13.8 / 1.5 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 17%
Rebounds / assists
2.8 reb • 0.6 ast
L10 6.8 / 2.8 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
PHI implied 114.0 • spread +4.5
total 232.5 • road • rested • team shares -20%
Form (PRA, last 10)
23.4 avg • season 12.4
38 32 53 9 20 7 8 22 16 29
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 12.5: More 19%
crowded offense: 114 implied points to go around (team shares -20%) · hot: 30.4 PRA last 5 vs 12.4 · new team: role assumed from MEM
7PRA
#Caleb Love
76ers @ Knicks • 7:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
6.5
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  4 pts + 1 reb + 1 ast

We think Love lands around 6. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 13 minutes, more than the 6 he averaged in his last 5 games.
  • He went over 15.5 in 3 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
91926025131200oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (15.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 1 and 11.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points4.2 ▼6.90% to score 20+
Rebounds1.4 ▲0.70% to grab 10+
Assists0.9 ▼1.90% to dish 8+
Threes1.01.131% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: 76ers 114, Knicks 118 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The 76ers are 4.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 232.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
  • Deep roster: lots of teammates to share the ball with, so his scoring share is trimmed a little.
More details
Minutes: 12.7 projected (last 5 games 5.6, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread +4.5, total 232.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Caleb Love G • PHI @ NY • 7:00 PM ET BenchLESS -9.1 vs avg
6.5 PRA projected • 4.2 / 1.4 / 0.9 • boost -9.1 vs L10
Chances
1–11 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 51%10+ 30%15+ 16%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
12.7 proj (+7.1)
last 5 5.6 • season 21.4 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
4.2 pts • 1.0 3PM
L10 6.9 / 1.1 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 31%
Rebounds / assists
1.4 reb • 0.9 ast
L10 0.7 / 1.9 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
PHI implied 114.0 • spread +4.5
total 232.5 • road • rested • team shares -20%
Form (PRA, last 10)
9.5 avg • season 15.6
0 0 2 1 13 25 0 26 19 9
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 15.5: More 13%
minutes up: 13 projected vs 6 last 5 · crowded offense: 114 implied points to go around (team shares -20%) · cold: 3.2 PRA last 5 vs 15.6 · new team: role assumed from POR
6PRA
#Isaiah Joe
Pistons vs Celtics • 3:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
6.4
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  5 pts + 1 reb + 1 ast

We think Joe lands around 6. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • He went over 14.5 in 2 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
6117191141809oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (14.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 1 and 11.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points4.74.81% to score 20+
Rebounds1.2 ▼1.50% to grab 10+
Assists0.5 ▼1.30% to dish 8+
Threes1.01.131% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Pistons 110, Celtics 112 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Pistons are 1.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 222.5 is lower-scoring than an average game (229): fewer possessions, fewer stats for everyone.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 9.9 projected (last 5 games 11.2, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread +1.5, total 222.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Isaiah Joe G • DET vs BOS • 3:00 PM ET BenchLESS -7.9 vs avg
6.4 PRA projected • 4.7 / 1.2 / 0.5 • boost -7.9 vs L10
Chances
1–11 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 52%10+ 29%15+ 14%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
9.9 proj (-1.3)
last 5 11.2 • season 19.0 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
4.7 pts • 1.0 3PM
L10 4.8 / 1.1 • 20+ pts 1% • 2+ 3PM 31%
Rebounds / assists
1.2 reb • 0.5 ast
L10 1.5 / 1.3 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
DET implied 110.5 • spread +1.5
total 222.5 • home • rested • team shares -6%
Form (PRA, last 10)
7.6 avg • season 14.3
9 0 18 4 1 1 19 7 11 6
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 14.5: More 14%
cold: 6.4 PRA last 5 vs 14.3 · new team: role assumed from OKC
6PRA
#Jose Alvarado
Knicks vs 76ers • 7:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
6.2
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  3 pts + 1 reb + 2 ast

We think Alvarado lands around 6. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 9 minutes, fewer than the 12 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 9.5 in 3 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
3115261278131oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (9.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 2 and 10.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points3.5 ▼3.90% to score 20+
Rebounds1.2 ▼1.80% to grab 10+
Assists1.5 ▲1.10% to dish 8+
Threes0.6 ▲0.516% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Knicks 118, 76ers 114 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Knicks are 4.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 232.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 8.8 projected (last 5 games 12.0, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread -4.5, total 232.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Jose Alvarado G • NY vs PHI • 7:00 PM ET BenchLESS -3.3 vs avg
6.2 PRA projected • 3.5 / 1.2 / 1.5 • boost -3.3 vs L10
Chances
2–10 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 55%10+ 26%15+ 9%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
8.8 proj (-3.2)
last 5 12.0 • season 13.4 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
3.5 pts • 0.6 3PM
L10 3.9 / 0.5 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 16%
Rebounds / assists
1.2 reb • 1.5 ast
L10 1.8 / 1.1 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
NY implied 118.5 • spread -4.5
total 232.5 • home • rested • team shares +1%
Form (PRA, last 10)
6.8 avg • season 9.5
1 13 8 7 12 6 2 5 11 3
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 9.5: More 26%
minutes down: 9 projected vs 12 last 5 (crowded rotation)
6PRA
#Mohamed Diawara
Knicks vs 76ers • 7:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
5.8
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  3 pts + 1 reb + 1 ast

We think Diawara lands around 6. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 9 minutes, more than the 6 he averaged in his last 5 games.
  • He went over 7.5 in 4 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
49515188005oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (7.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 2 and 9.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points3.5 ▲2.50% to score 20+
Rebounds1.51.50% to grab 10+
Assists0.8 ▼1.50% to dish 8+
Threes0.6 ▲0.115% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Knicks 118, 76ers 114 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Knicks are 4.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 232.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 9.2 projected (last 5 games 6.3, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread -4.5, total 232.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Mohamed Diawara F • NY vs PHI • 7:00 PM ET Bench
5.8 PRA projected • 3.5 / 1.5 / 0.8 • boost -1.8 vs L10
Chances
2–9 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 53%10+ 23%15+ 7%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
9.2 proj (+2.9)
last 5 6.3 • season 12.6 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
3.5 pts • 0.6 3PM
L10 2.5 / 0.1 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 15%
Rebounds / assists
1.5 reb • 0.8 ast
L10 1.5 / 1.5 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
NY implied 118.5 • spread -4.5
total 232.5 • home • rested • team shares +1%
Form (PRA, last 10)
5.5 avg • season 7.6
5 0 0 8 8 1 15 5 9 4
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 7.5: More 33%
cold: 4.2 PRA last 5 vs 7.6
6PRA
#Javonte Green
Pistons vs Celtics • 3:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
5.7
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  4 pts + 2 reb + 0 ast

We think Green lands around 6. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • He went over 9.5 in 1 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
57810815450oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (9.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 1 and 9.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points3.7 ▲3.00% to score 20+
Rebounds1.7 ▼2.00% to grab 10+
Assists0.30.30% to dish 8+
Threes0.70.717% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Pistons 110, Celtics 112 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Pistons are 1.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 222.5 is lower-scoring than an average game (229): fewer possessions, fewer stats for everyone.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 10.7 projected (last 5 games 9.2, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread +1.5, total 222.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Javonte Green G • DET vs BOS • 3:00 PM ET BenchLESS -3.3 vs avg
5.7 PRA projected • 3.7 / 1.7 / 0.3 • boost -3.3 vs L10
Chances
1–9 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 52%10+ 23%15+ 8%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
10.7 proj (+1.5)
last 5 9.2 • season 15.3 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
3.7 pts • 0.7 3PM
L10 3.0 / 0.7 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 17%
Rebounds / assists
1.7 reb • 0.3 ast
L10 2.0 / 0.3 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
DET implied 110.5 • spread +1.5
total 222.5 • home • rested • team shares -6%
Form (PRA, last 10)
5.3 avg • season 9.1
0 5 4 5 1 8 10 8 7 5
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 9.5: More 23%
cold: 3.0 PRA last 5 vs 9.1
6PRA
#Ronald Holland II
Pistons vs Celtics • 3:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
5.4
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  3 pts + 2 reb + 0 ast

We think II lands around 5. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 9 minutes, more than the 6 he averaged in his last 5 games.
  • He went over 11.5 in 1 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
191053071305oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (11.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 1 and 9.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points3.2 ▲2.70% to score 20+
Rebounds1.8 ▼2.20% to grab 10+
Assists0.3 ▼0.40% to dish 8+
Threes0.3 ▼0.64% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Pistons 110, Celtics 112 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Pistons are 1.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 222.5 is lower-scoring than an average game (229): fewer possessions, fewer stats for everyone.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 9.0 projected (last 5 games 6.0, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread +1.5, total 222.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Ronald Holland II F • DET vs BOS • 3:00 PM ET BenchLESS -5.6 vs avg
5.4 PRA projected • 3.2 / 1.8 / 0.3 • boost -5.6 vs L10
Chances
1–9 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 47%10+ 23%15+ 9%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
9.0 proj (+3.0)
last 5 6.0 • season 16.1 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
3.2 pts • 0.3 3PM
L10 2.7 / 0.6 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 4%
Rebounds / assists
1.8 reb • 0.3 ast
L10 2.2 / 0.4 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
DET implied 110.5 • spread +1.5
total 222.5 • home • rested • team shares -6%
Form (PRA, last 10)
5.3 avg • season 11.0
5 0 3 1 7 0 3 5 10 19
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 11.5: More 16%
cold: 3.2 PRA last 5 vs 11.0
5PRA
#Kevin McCullar Jr.
Knicks vs 76ers • 7:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
4.8
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  3 pts + 1 reb + 1 ast

We think Jr. lands around 5. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 7 minutes, fewer than the 10 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 5.5 in 2 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
03605000417oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (5.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 1 and 8.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points2.7 ▲2.20% to score 20+
Rebounds1.2 ▲0.80% to grab 10+
Assists0.9 ▲0.50% to dish 8+
Threes0.4 ▲0.29% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Knicks 118, 76ers 114 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Knicks are 4.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 232.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 7.2 projected (last 5 games 10.0, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread -4.5, total 232.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Kevin McCullar Jr. G • NY vs PHI • 7:00 PM ET Bench
4.8 PRA projected • 2.7 / 1.2 / 0.9 • boost -0.3 vs L10
Chances
1–8 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 46%10+ 17%15+ 5%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
7.2 proj (-2.8)
last 5 10.0 • season 8.2 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
2.7 pts • 0.4 3PM
L10 2.2 / 0.2 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 9%
Rebounds / assists
1.2 reb • 0.9 ast
L10 0.8 / 0.5 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
NY implied 118.5 • spread -4.5
total 232.5 • home • rested • team shares +1%
Form (PRA, last 10)
3.5 avg • season 5.2
17 4 0 0 0 5 0 6 3 0
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 5.5: More 39%
cold: 4.2 PRA last 5 vs 5.2
5PRA
#Luke Kornet
Spurs vs Thunder • 9:30 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
4.5
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  2 pts + 2 reb + 1 ast

We think Kornet lands around 5. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • He went over 9.5 in 1 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
71319614902oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (9.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 0 and 8.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points1.91.80% to score 20+
Rebounds2.1 ▼3.00% to grab 10+
Assists0.5 ▲0.40% to dish 8+
Threes0.00.00% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Spurs 117, Thunder 114 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Spurs are 2.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 231.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 7.2 projected (last 5 games 8.2, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread -2.5, total 231.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Luke Kornet C • SA vs OKC • 9:30 PM ET BenchLESS -5.3 vs avg
4.5 PRA projected • 1.9 / 2.1 / 0.5 • boost -5.3 vs L10
Chances
0–8 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 42%10+ 18%15+ 7%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
7.2 proj (-1.0)
last 5 8.2 • season 15.4 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
1.9 pts • 0.0 3PM
L10 1.8 / 0.0 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 0%
Rebounds / assists
2.1 reb • 0.5 ast
L10 3.0 / 0.4 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
SA implied 117.0 • spread -2.5
total 231.5 • home • rested • team shares -6%
Form (PRA, last 10)
5.2 avg • season 9.8
2 0 9 4 1 6 9 1 13 7
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 9.5: More 18%
cold: 3.2 PRA last 5 vs 9.8
5PRA
#Tyler Kolek
Knicks vs 76ers • 7:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
4.5
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  2 pts + 1 reb + 1 ast

We think Kolek lands around 5. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • He went over 7.5 in 6 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
191023101209010oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (7.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 1 and 8.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points2.4 ▼4.50% to score 20+
Rebounds0.8 ▼0.90% to grab 10+
Assists1.3 ▼2.10% to dish 8+
Threes0.4 ▼0.78% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Knicks 118, 76ers 114 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Knicks are 4.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 232.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 5.8 projected (last 5 games 6.0, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread -4.5, total 232.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Tyler Kolek G • NY vs PHI • 7:00 PM ET BenchLESS -3.3 vs avg
4.5 PRA projected • 2.4 / 0.8 / 1.3 • boost -3.3 vs L10
Chances
1–8 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 43%10+ 17%15+ 5%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
5.8 proj (-0.2)
last 5 6.0 • season 10.4 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
2.4 pts • 0.4 3PM
L10 4.5 / 0.7 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 8%
Rebounds / assists
0.8 reb • 1.3 ast
L10 0.9 / 2.1 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
NY implied 118.5 • spread -4.5
total 232.5 • home • rested • team shares +1%
Form (PRA, last 10)
7.5 avg • season 7.8
10 0 9 0 12 10 3 2 10 19
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 7.5: More 25%
cold: 6.2 PRA last 5 vs 7.8
5PRA
#Dean Wade
76ers @ Knicks • 7:00 PM ET Day-To-Day
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
4.4
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  2 pts + 2 reb + 0 ast

We think Wade lands around 4. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 13 minutes, fewer than the 21 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 10.5 in 3 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
15109456121892oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (10.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 0 and 8.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points1.6 ▼4.40% to score 20+
Rebounds2.4 ▼3.60% to grab 10+
Assists0.4 ▼1.00% to dish 8+
Threes0.6 ▼1.115% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: 76ers 114, Knicks 118 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The 76ers are 4.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 232.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
  • Deep roster: lots of teammates to share the ball with, so his scoring share is trimmed a little.
More details
Minutes: 12.6 projected (last 5 games 21.0, started 60% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread +4.5, total 232.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Dean Wade F • PHI @ NY • 7:00 PM ET BenchLESS -6.4 vs avgDay-To-Day
4.4 PRA projected • 1.6 / 2.4 / 0.4 • boost -6.4 vs L10
Chances
0–8 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 40%10+ 19%15+ 7%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
12.6 proj (-8.4)
last 5 21.0 • season 22.3 • started 60% of last 5
Points / threes
1.6 pts • 0.6 3PM
L10 4.4 / 1.1 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 15%
Rebounds / assists
2.4 reb • 0.4 ast
L10 3.6 / 1.0 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
PHI implied 114.0 • spread +4.5
total 232.5 • road • rested • team shares -20%
Form (PRA, last 10)
9.0 avg • season 10.8
2 9 18 12 6 5 4 9 10 15
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 10.5: More 16%
crowded offense: 114 implied points to go around (team shares -20%) · new team: role assumed from CLE · Day-To-Day
4PRA
#Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
76ers @ Knicks • 7:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
4.3
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  2 pts + 1 reb + 1 ast

We think Caldwell-Pope lands around 4. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 10 minutes, fewer than the 24 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 13.5 in 6 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
1015615151019151810oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (13.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 0 and 8.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points2.4 ▼8.80% to score 20+
Rebounds1.2 ▼2.50% to grab 10+
Assists0.7 ▼2.00% to dish 8+
Threes0.50.511% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: 76ers 114, Knicks 118 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The 76ers are 4.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 232.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
  • Deep roster: lots of teammates to share the ball with, so his scoring share is trimmed a little.
More details
Minutes: 10.1 projected (last 5 games 24.0, started 20% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread +4.5, total 232.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope G • PHI @ NY • 7:00 PM ET BenchLESS -8.8 vs avg
4.3 PRA projected • 2.4 / 1.2 / 0.7 • boost -8.8 vs L10
Chances
0–8 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 38%10+ 20%15+ 9%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
10.1 proj (-13.9)
last 5 24.0 • season 20.4 • started 20% of last 5
Points / threes
2.4 pts • 0.5 3PM
L10 8.8 / 0.5 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 11%
Rebounds / assists
1.2 reb • 0.7 ast
L10 2.5 / 2.0 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
PHI implied 114.0 • spread +4.5
total 232.5 • road • rested • team shares -20%
Form (PRA, last 10)
13.3 avg • season 13.1
10 18 15 19 10 15 15 6 15 10
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 13.5: More 11%
crowded offense: 114 implied points to go around (team shares -20%) · new team: role assumed from MEM
4PRA
#Jordan Walsh
Celtics @ Pistons • 3:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
3.9
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  2 pts + 1 reb + 0 ast

We think Walsh lands around 4. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 8 minutes, fewer than the 13 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 7.5 in 5 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
8102093446110oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (7.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 0 and 7.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points2.2 ▼3.20% to score 20+
Rebounds1.3 ▼3.00% to grab 10+
Assists0.3 ▼1.30% to dish 8+
Threes0.3 ▼0.65% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Celtics 112, Pistons 110 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Celtics are 1.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 222.5 is lower-scoring than an average game (229): fewer possessions, fewer stats for everyone.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 7.7 projected (last 5 games 13.0, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread -1.5, total 222.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Jordan Walsh G • BOS @ DET • 3:00 PM ET BenchLESS -3.9 vs avg
3.9 PRA projected • 2.2 / 1.3 / 0.3 • boost -3.9 vs L10
Chances
0–7 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 37%10+ 14%15+ 4%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
7.7 proj (-5.3)
last 5 13.0 • season 15.5 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
2.2 pts • 0.3 3PM
L10 3.2 / 0.6 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 5%
Rebounds / assists
1.3 reb • 0.3 ast
L10 3.0 / 1.3 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
BOS implied 112.0 • spread -1.5
total 222.5 • road • rested • team shares +2%
Form (PRA, last 10)
7.5 avg • season 7.8
0 11 6 4 4 3 9 20 10 8
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 7.5: More 22%
minutes down: 8 projected vs 13 last 5 (crowded rotation) · cold: 5.0 PRA last 5 vs 7.8
4PRA
#Dillon Mitchell
Celtics @ Pistons • 3:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
3.8
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  2 pts + 1 reb + 0 ast

We think Mitchell lands around 4. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 6 minutes, fewer than the 16 he averaged in his last 5 preseason games (rookies play more in October). Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • No NBA games yet, so this is built from his 4 preseason games. Treat it as a rough guess.
Most nights he should land between 0 and 6.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10Chance
Points2.4-0% to score 20+
Rebounds0.9-0% to grab 10+
Assists0.4-0% to dish 8+
Threes0.2-3% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Celtics 112, Pistons 110 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Celtics are 1.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 222.5 is lower-scoring than an average game (229): fewer possessions, fewer stats for everyone.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 6.3 projected (last 5 games 16.2, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread -1.5, total 222.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Dillon Mitchell F • BOS @ DET • 3:00 PM ET Bench
3.8 PRA projected • 2.4 / 0.9 / 0.4 • boost +0.0 vs L10
Chances
0–6 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 37%10+ 11%15+ 3%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
6.3 proj (-9.9)
last 5 16.2 • season 0.0 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
2.4 pts • 0.2 3PM
L10 0.0 / 0.0 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 3%
Rebounds / assists
0.9 reb • 0.4 ast
L10 0.0 / 0.0 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
BOS implied 112.0 • spread -1.5
total 222.5 • road • rested • team shares +2%
Form (PRA, last 10)
0.0 avg • season 0.0
no games
PRA line no DK line
minutes down: 6 projected vs 16 last 5 (crowded rotation) · no NBA games yet: role from 4 preseason games (13.5 PRA, 16 min) -- no line to compare against
4PRA
#Pacome Dadiet
Knicks vs 76ers • 7:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
3.6
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  2 pts + 1 reb + 0 ast

We think Dadiet lands around 4. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • He went over 3.5 in 6 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
63180671907oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (3.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 0 and 6.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points2.2 ▼3.90% to score 20+
Rebounds1.0 ▼1.30% to grab 10+
Assists0.4 ▼0.50% to dish 8+
Threes0.3 ▼0.55% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Knicks 118, 76ers 114 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Knicks are 4.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 232.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 5.1 projected (last 5 games 5.5, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread -4.5, total 232.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Pacome Dadiet F • NY vs PHI • 7:00 PM ET Bench
3.6 PRA projected • 2.2 / 1.0 / 0.4 • boost +0.3 vs L10
Chances
0–6 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 35%10+ 11%15+ 3%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
5.1 proj (-0.4)
last 5 5.5 • season 5.1 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
2.2 pts • 0.3 3PM
L10 3.9 / 0.5 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 5%
Rebounds / assists
1.0 reb • 0.4 ast
L10 1.3 / 0.5 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
NY implied 118.5 • spread -4.5
total 232.5 • home • rested • team shares +1%
Form (PRA, last 10)
5.7 avg • season 3.3
7 0 9 1 7 6 0 18 3 6
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 3.5: More 43%
hot: 4.8 PRA last 5 vs 3.3
4PRA
#Tarris Reed Jr.
Spurs vs Thunder • 9:30 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
3.5
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  2 pts + 2 reb + 0 ast

We think Jr. lands around 4. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 5 minutes, fewer than the 17 he averaged in his last 5 preseason games (rookies play more in October). Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • No NBA games yet, so this is built from his 5 preseason games. Treat it as a rough guess.
Most nights he should land between 0 and 6.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10Chance
Points1.6-0% to score 20+
Rebounds1.7-0% to grab 10+
Assists0.3-0% to dish 8+
Threes0.1-1% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Spurs 117, Thunder 114 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Spurs are 2.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 231.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 5.4 projected (last 5 games 17.0, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread -2.5, total 231.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Tarris Reed Jr. C • SA vs OKC • 9:30 PM ET Bench
3.5 PRA projected • 1.6 / 1.7 / 0.3 • boost +0.0 vs L10
Chances
0–6 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 34%10+ 10%15+ 2%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
5.4 proj (-11.6)
last 5 17.0 • season 0.0 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
1.6 pts • 0.1 3PM
L10 0.0 / 0.0 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 1%
Rebounds / assists
1.7 reb • 0.3 ast
L10 0.0 / 0.0 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
SA implied 117.0 • spread -2.5
total 231.5 • home • rested • team shares -6%
Form (PRA, last 10)
0.0 avg • season 0.0
no games
PRA line no DK line
minutes down: 5 projected vs 17 last 5 (crowded rotation) · no NBA games yet: role from 5 preseason games (14.6 PRA, 17 min) -- no line to compare against
4PRA
#Mike Conley
Celtics @ Pistons • 3:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
3.4
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  2 pts + 0 reb + 1 ast

We think Conley lands around 3. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 7 minutes, fewer than the 13 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 7.5 in 6 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
20109207210810oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (7.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 0 and 6.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points2.0 ▼4.30% to score 20+
Rebounds0.5 ▼0.80% to grab 10+
Assists1.0 ▼2.70% to dish 8+
Threes0.4 ▼1.19% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Celtics 112, Pistons 110 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Celtics are 1.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 222.5 is lower-scoring than an average game (229): fewer possessions, fewer stats for everyone.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 7.2 projected (last 5 games 13.0, started 40% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread -1.5, total 222.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Mike Conley G • BOS @ DET • 3:00 PM ET BenchLESS -4.4 vs avg
3.4 PRA projected • 2.0 / 0.5 / 1.0 • boost -4.4 vs L10
Chances
0–6 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 34%10+ 13%15+ 4%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
7.2 proj (-5.8)
last 5 13.0 • season 16.3 • started 40% of last 5
Points / threes
2.0 pts • 0.4 3PM
L10 4.3 / 1.1 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 9%
Rebounds / assists
0.5 reb • 1.0 ast
L10 0.8 / 2.7 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
BOS implied 112.0 • spread -1.5
total 222.5 • road • rested • team shares +2%
Form (PRA, last 10)
7.8 avg • season 7.8
10 8 10 2 7 20 9 10 0 2
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 7.5: More 19%
minutes down: 7 projected vs 13 last 5 (crowded rotation) · new team: role assumed from MIN
3PRA
#Kenrich Williams
Thunder @ Spurs • 9:30 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
3.0
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  2 pts + 1 reb + 0 ast

We think Williams lands around 3. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 5 minutes, fewer than the 11 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 9.5 in 3 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
0000061811153oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (9.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 0 and 6.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points1.7 ▼3.20% to score 20+
Rebounds1.0 ▼1.60% to grab 10+
Assists0.2 ▼0.50% to dish 8+
Threes0.3 ▼0.66% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Thunder 114, Spurs 117 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Thunder are 2.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 231.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 4.9 projected (last 5 games 11.2, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread +2.5, total 231.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Kenrich Williams G • OKC @ SA • 9:30 PM ET BenchLESS -6.7 vs avg
3.0 PRA projected • 1.7 / 1.0 / 0.2 • boost -6.7 vs L10
Chances
0–6 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 30%10+ 13%15+ 5%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
4.9 proj (-6.3)
last 5 11.2 • season 12.9 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
1.7 pts • 0.3 3PM
L10 3.2 / 0.6 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 6%
Rebounds / assists
1.0 reb • 0.2 ast
L10 1.6 / 0.5 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
OKC implied 114.5 • spread +2.5
total 231.5 • road • rested • team shares -7%
Form (PRA, last 10)
5.3 avg • season 9.7
3 15 11 18 6 0 0 0 0 0
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 9.5: More 13%
minutes down: 5 projected vs 11 last 5 (crowded rotation)
3PRA
#Tyler Nickel
Knicks vs 76ers • 7:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
2.8
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  2 pts + 1 reb + 0 ast

We think Nickel lands around 3. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 5 minutes, fewer than the 10 he averaged in his last 5 preseason games (rookies play more in October). Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • No NBA games yet, so this is built from his 4 preseason games. Treat it as a rough guess.
Most nights he should land between 0 and 5.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10Chance
Points1.8-0% to score 20+
Rebounds0.7-0% to grab 10+
Assists0.3-0% to dish 8+
Threes0.2-3% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Knicks 118, 76ers 114 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Knicks are 4.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 232.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 4.6 projected (last 5 games 9.8, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread -4.5, total 232.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Tyler Nickel F • NY vs PHI • 7:00 PM ET Bench
2.8 PRA projected • 1.8 / 0.7 / 0.3 • boost +0.0 vs L10
Chances
0–5 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 28%10+ 7%15+ 2%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
4.6 proj (-5.1)
last 5 9.8 • season 0.0 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
1.8 pts • 0.2 3PM
L10 0.0 / 0.0 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 3%
Rebounds / assists
0.7 reb • 0.3 ast
L10 0.0 / 0.0 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
NY implied 118.5 • spread -4.5
total 232.5 • home • rested • team shares +1%
Form (PRA, last 10)
0.0 avg • season 0.0
no games
PRA line no DK line
minutes down: 5 projected vs 10 last 5 (crowded rotation) · no NBA games yet: role from 4 preseason games (5.5 PRA, 10 min) -- no line to compare against
3PRA
#Chris Cenac Jr.
Celtics @ Pistons • 3:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
2.7
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  2 pts + 1 reb + 0 ast

We think Jr. lands around 3. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 5 minutes, fewer than the 14 he averaged in his last 5 preseason games (rookies play more in October). Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • No NBA games yet, so this is built from his 4 preseason games. Treat it as a rough guess.
Most nights he should land between 0 and 5.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10Chance
Points1.8-0% to score 20+
Rebounds0.7-0% to grab 10+
Assists0.2-0% to dish 8+
Threes0.1-2% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Celtics 112, Pistons 110 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Celtics are 1.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 222.5 is lower-scoring than an average game (229): fewer possessions, fewer stats for everyone.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 4.6 projected (last 5 games 13.8, started 25% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread -1.5, total 222.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Chris Cenac Jr. F • BOS @ DET • 3:00 PM ET Bench
2.7 PRA projected • 1.8 / 0.7 / 0.2 • boost +0.0 vs L10
Chances
0–5 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 27%10+ 7%15+ 2%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
4.6 proj (-9.2)
last 5 13.8 • season 0.0 • started 25% of last 5
Points / threes
1.8 pts • 0.1 3PM
L10 0.0 / 0.0 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 2%
Rebounds / assists
0.7 reb • 0.2 ast
L10 0.0 / 0.0 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
BOS implied 112.0 • spread -1.5
total 222.5 • road • rested • team shares +2%
Form (PRA, last 10)
0.0 avg • season 0.0
no games
PRA line no DK line
minutes down: 5 projected vs 14 last 5 (crowded rotation) · no NBA games yet: role from 4 preseason games (12.8 PRA, 14 min) -- no line to compare against
3PRA
#Hugo Gonzalez
Celtics @ Pistons • 3:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
2.7
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  2 pts + 1 reb + 0 ast

We think Gonzalez lands around 3. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 6 minutes, fewer than the 9 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 7.5 in 2 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
56940151203oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (7.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 0 and 5.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points1.7 ▼2.30% to score 20+
Rebounds0.9 ▼1.90% to grab 10+
Assists0.1 ▼0.30% to dish 8+
Threes0.2 ▼0.53% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Celtics 112, Pistons 110 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Celtics are 1.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 222.5 is lower-scoring than an average game (229): fewer possessions, fewer stats for everyone.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 5.9 projected (last 5 games 8.8, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread -1.5, total 222.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Hugo Gonzalez G • BOS @ DET • 3:00 PM ET BenchLESS -4.5 vs avg
2.7 PRA projected • 1.7 / 0.9 / 0.1 • boost -4.5 vs L10
Chances
0–5 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 28%10+ 10%15+ 3%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
5.9 proj (-2.9)
last 5 8.8 • season 13.7 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
1.7 pts • 0.2 3PM
L10 2.3 / 0.5 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 3%
Rebounds / assists
0.9 reb • 0.1 ast
L10 1.9 / 0.3 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
BOS implied 112.0 • spread -1.5
total 222.5 • road • rested • team shares +2%
Form (PRA, last 10)
4.5 avg • season 7.2
3 0 2 1 15 0 4 9 6 5
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 7.5: More 15%
cold: 4.2 PRA last 5 vs 7.2
3PRA
#Jaden Akins
Knicks vs 76ers • 7:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
2.6
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  2 pts + 0 reb + 1 ast

We think Akins lands around 3. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 4 minutes, fewer than the 9 he averaged in his last 5 preseason games (rookies play more in October). Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • No NBA games yet, so this is built from his 3 preseason games. Treat it as a rough guess.
Most nights he should land between 0 and 5.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10Chance
Points1.6-0% to score 20+
Rebounds0.4-0% to grab 10+
Assists0.5-0% to dish 8+
Threes0.2-3% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Knicks 118, 76ers 114 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Knicks are 4.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 232.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 4.1 projected (last 5 games 9.3, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread -4.5, total 232.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Jaden Akins G • NY vs PHI • 7:00 PM ET Bench
2.6 PRA projected • 1.6 / 0.4 / 0.5 • boost +0.0 vs L10
Chances
0–5 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 26%10+ 6%15+ 2%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
4.1 proj (-5.2)
last 5 9.3 • season 0.0 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
1.6 pts • 0.2 3PM
L10 0.0 / 0.0 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 3%
Rebounds / assists
0.4 reb • 0.5 ast
L10 0.0 / 0.0 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
NY implied 118.5 • spread -4.5
total 232.5 • home • rested • team shares +1%
Form (PRA, last 10)
0.0 avg • season 0.0
no games
PRA line no DK line
minutes down: 4 projected vs 9 last 5 (crowded rotation) · no NBA games yet: role from 3 preseason games (7.3 PRA, 9 min) -- no line to compare against
3PRA
#Carter Bryant
Spurs vs Thunder • 9:30 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
2.3
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  1 pts + 1 reb + 0 ast

We think Bryant lands around 2. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • He went over 7.5 in 1 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
5286310362oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (7.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 0 and 4.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points1.2 ▼2.30% to score 20+
Rebounds0.9 ▼1.10% to grab 10+
Assists0.2 ▲0.20% to dish 8+
Threes0.3 ▼0.44% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Spurs 117, Thunder 114 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Spurs are 2.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 231.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 4.0 projected (last 5 games 4.4, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread -2.5, total 231.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Carter Bryant F • SA vs OKC • 9:30 PM ET BenchLESS -5.3 vs avg
2.3 PRA projected • 1.2 / 0.9 / 0.2 • boost -5.3 vs L10
Chances
0–4 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 25%10+ 9%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
4.0 proj (-0.4)
last 5 4.4 • season 11.8 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
1.2 pts • 0.3 3PM
L10 2.3 / 0.4 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 4%
Rebounds / assists
0.9 reb • 0.2 ast
L10 1.1 / 0.2 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
SA implied 117.0 • spread -2.5
total 231.5 • home • rested • team shares -6%
Form (PRA, last 10)
3.6 avg • season 7.7
2 6 3 0 1 3 6 8 2 5
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 7.5: More 14%
cold: 2.4 PRA last 5 vs 7.7
2PRA
#Ja'Kobi Gillespie
Spurs vs Thunder • 9:30 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
1.9
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  1 pts + 0 reb + 0 ast

We think Gillespie lands around 2. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 3 minutes, fewer than the 14 he averaged in his last 5 preseason games (rookies play more in October). Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • No NBA games yet, so this is built from his 5 preseason games. Treat it as a rough guess.
Most nights he should land between 0 and 4.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10Chance
Points1.3-0% to score 20+
Rebounds0.3-0% to grab 10+
Assists0.3-0% to dish 8+
Threes0.3-4% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Spurs 117, Thunder 114 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Spurs are 2.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 231.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 3.2 projected (last 5 games 14.0, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread -2.5, total 231.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Ja'Kobi Gillespie G • SA vs OKC • 9:30 PM ET Bench
1.9 PRA projected • 1.3 / 0.3 / 0.3 • boost +0.0 vs L10
Chances
0–4 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 20%10+ 4%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
3.2 proj (-10.8)
last 5 14.0 • season 0.0 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
1.3 pts • 0.3 3PM
L10 0.0 / 0.0 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 4%
Rebounds / assists
0.3 reb • 0.3 ast
L10 0.0 / 0.0 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
SA implied 117.0 • spread -2.5
total 231.5 • home • rested • team shares -6%
Form (PRA, last 10)
0.0 avg • season 0.0
no games
PRA line no DK line
minutes down: 3 projected vs 14 last 5 (crowded rotation) · no NBA games yet: role from 5 preseason games (15.8 PRA, 14 min) -- no line to compare against
2PRA
#Brooks Barnhizer
Thunder @ Spurs • 9:30 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
1.9
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  1 pts + 1 reb + 0 ast

We think Barnhizer lands around 2. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 5 minutes, fewer than the 14 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 4.5 in 4 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
20533016258oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (4.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 0 and 4.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points0.8 ▼2.30% to score 20+
Rebounds0.9 ▼2.40% to grab 10+
Assists0.2 ▼0.60% to dish 8+
Threes0.2 ▼0.22% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Thunder 114, Spurs 117 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Thunder are 2.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 231.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 4.5 projected (last 5 games 14.4, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread +2.5, total 231.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Brooks Barnhizer F • OKC @ SA • 9:30 PM ET Bench
1.9 PRA projected • 0.8 / 0.9 / 0.2 • boost -2.3 vs L10
Chances
0–4 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 20%10+ 5%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
4.5 proj (-9.9)
last 5 14.4 • season 8.7 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
0.8 pts • 0.2 3PM
L10 2.3 / 0.2 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 2%
Rebounds / assists
0.9 reb • 0.2 ast
L10 2.4 / 0.6 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
OKC implied 114.5 • spread +2.5
total 231.5 • road • rested • team shares -7%
Form (PRA, last 10)
5.3 avg • season 4.2
8 25 6 1 0 3 3 5 0 2
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 4.5: More 20%
minutes down: 5 projected vs 14 last 5 (crowded rotation) · hot: 8.0 PRA last 5 vs 4.2
2PRA
#Ebuka Okorie
Pistons vs Celtics • 3:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
1.9
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  1 pts + 0 reb + 0 ast

We think Okorie lands around 2. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 3 minutes, fewer than the 13 he averaged in his last 5 preseason games (rookies play more in October). Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • No NBA games yet, so this is built from his 4 preseason games. Treat it as a rough guess.
Most nights he should land between 0 and 4.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10Chance
Points1.3-0% to score 20+
Rebounds0.3-0% to grab 10+
Assists0.3-0% to dish 8+
Threes0.1-1% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Pistons 110, Celtics 112 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Pistons are 1.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 222.5 is lower-scoring than an average game (229): fewer possessions, fewer stats for everyone.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 3.4 projected (last 5 games 13.2, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread +1.5, total 222.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Ebuka Okorie G • DET vs BOS • 3:00 PM ET Bench
1.9 PRA projected • 1.3 / 0.3 / 0.3 • boost +0.0 vs L10
Chances
0–4 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 19%10+ 4%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
3.4 proj (-9.8)
last 5 13.2 • season 0.0 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
1.3 pts • 0.1 3PM
L10 0.0 / 0.0 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 1%
Rebounds / assists
0.3 reb • 0.3 ast
L10 0.0 / 0.0 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
DET implied 110.5 • spread +1.5
total 222.5 • home • rested • team shares -6%
Form (PRA, last 10)
0.0 avg • season 0.0
no games
PRA line no DK line
minutes down: 3 projected vs 13 last 5 (crowded rotation) · no NBA games yet: role from 4 preseason games (13.2 PRA, 13 min) -- no line to compare against
2PRA
#Harrison Barnes
Spurs vs Thunder • 9:30 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
1.8
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  1 pts + 0 reb + 0 ast

We think Barnes lands around 2. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 4 minutes, fewer than the 7 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 8.5 in 1 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
9080807030oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (8.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 0 and 4.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points1.2 ▼1.90% to score 20+
Rebounds0.5 ▼1.30% to grab 10+
Assists0.2 ▼0.30% to dish 8+
Threes0.3 ▼0.44% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Spurs 117, Thunder 114 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Spurs are 2.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 231.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 4.1 projected (last 5 games 7.4, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread -2.5, total 231.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Harrison Barnes F • SA vs OKC • 9:30 PM ET BenchLESS -6.2 vs avg
1.8 PRA projected • 1.2 / 0.5 / 0.2 • boost -6.2 vs L10
Chances
0–4 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 22%10+ 8%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
4.1 proj (-3.3)
last 5 7.4 • season 15.3 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
1.2 pts • 0.3 3PM
L10 1.9 / 0.4 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 4%
Rebounds / assists
0.5 reb • 0.2 ast
L10 1.3 / 0.3 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
SA implied 117.0 • spread -2.5
total 231.5 • home • rested • team shares -6%
Form (PRA, last 10)
3.5 avg • season 8.0
0 3 0 7 0 8 0 8 0 9
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 8.5: More 10%
minutes down: 4 projected vs 7 last 5 (crowded rotation) · cold: 2.0 PRA last 5 vs 8.0
2PRA
#Labaron Philon Jr.
76ers @ Knicks • 7:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
1.7
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  1 pts + 0 reb + 0 ast

We think Jr. lands around 2. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 5 minutes, fewer than the 24 he averaged in his last 5 preseason games (rookies play more in October). Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • No NBA games yet, so this is built from his 4 preseason games. Treat it as a rough guess.
Most nights he should land between 0 and 3.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10Chance
Points0.9-0% to score 20+
Rebounds0.5-0% to grab 10+
Assists0.3-0% to dish 8+
Threes0.2-3% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: 76ers 114, Knicks 118 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The 76ers are 4.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 232.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
  • Deep roster: lots of teammates to share the ball with, so his scoring share is trimmed a little.
More details
Minutes: 4.7 projected (last 5 games 24.5, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread +4.5, total 232.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Labaron Philon Jr. G • PHI @ NY • 7:00 PM ET Bench
1.7 PRA projected • 0.9 / 0.5 / 0.3 • boost +0.0 vs L10
Chances
0–3 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 18%10+ 3%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
4.7 proj (-19.8)
last 5 24.5 • season 0.0 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
0.9 pts • 0.2 3PM
L10 0.0 / 0.0 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 3%
Rebounds / assists
0.5 reb • 0.3 ast
L10 0.0 / 0.0 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
PHI implied 114.0 • spread +4.5
total 232.5 • road • rested • team shares -20%
Form (PRA, last 10)
0.0 avg • season 0.0
no games
PRA line no DK line
crowded offense: 114 implied points to go around (team shares -20%) · no NBA games yet: role from 4 preseason games (15.8 PRA, 24 min) -- no line to compare against
2PRA
#Nikola Topic
Thunder @ Spurs • 9:30 PM ET Day-To-Day
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
1.5
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  1 pts + 0 reb + 0 ast

We think Topic lands around 2. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • He went over 6.5 in 1 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
36100220400oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (6.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 0 and 3.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points0.7 ▼2.20% to score 20+
Rebounds0.3 ▼0.60% to grab 10+
Assists0.4 ▼1.70% to dish 8+
Threes0.2 ▼0.22% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Thunder 114, Spurs 117 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Thunder are 2.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 231.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 3.2 projected (last 5 games 3.0, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread +2.5, total 231.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Nikola Topic G • OKC @ SA • 9:30 PM ET BenchLESS -5.0 vs avgDay-To-Day
1.5 PRA projected • 0.7 / 0.3 / 0.4 • boost -5.0 vs L10
Chances
0–3 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 19%10+ 5%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
3.2 proj (+0.2)
last 5 3.0 • season 9.6 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
0.7 pts • 0.2 3PM
L10 2.2 / 0.2 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 2%
Rebounds / assists
0.3 reb • 0.4 ast
L10 0.6 / 1.7 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
OKC implied 114.5 • spread +2.5
total 231.5 • road • rested • team shares -7%
Form (PRA, last 10)
4.5 avg • season 6.5
0 0 4 0 2 2 0 0 1 36
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 6.5: More 12%
cold: 1.2 PRA last 5 vs 6.5 · Day-To-Day
2PRA
#Dominick Barlow
76ers @ Knicks • 7:00 PM ET Day-To-Day
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
1.4
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  1 pts + 1 reb + 0 ast

We think Barlow lands around 1. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 4 minutes, fewer than the 12 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 10.5 in 1 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
127115010837oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (10.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 0 and 3.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points0.6 ▼3.30% to score 20+
Rebounds0.7 ▼1.80% to grab 10+
Assists0.1 ▼0.30% to dish 8+
Threes0.00.00% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: 76ers 114, Knicks 118 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The 76ers are 4.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 232.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
  • Deep roster: lots of teammates to share the ball with, so his scoring share is trimmed a little.
More details
Minutes: 3.7 projected (last 5 games 11.6, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread +4.5, total 232.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Dominick Barlow F • PHI @ NY • 7:00 PM ET BenchLESS -9.2 vs avgDay-To-Day
1.4 PRA projected • 0.6 / 0.7 / 0.1 • boost -9.2 vs L10
Chances
0–3 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 20%10+ 9%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
3.7 proj (-7.9)
last 5 11.6 • season 20.7 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
0.6 pts • 0.0 3PM
L10 3.3 / 0.0 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 0%
Rebounds / assists
0.7 reb • 0.1 ast
L10 1.8 / 0.3 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
PHI implied 114.0 • spread +4.5
total 232.5 • road • rested • team shares -20%
Form (PRA, last 10)
5.4 avg • season 10.6
7 3 8 10 0 5 1 1 7 12
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 10.5: More 7%
crowded offense: 114 implied points to go around (team shares -20%) · cold: 5.6 PRA last 5 vs 10.6 · Day-To-Day
1PRA
#Ron Harper Jr.
Celtics @ Pistons • 3:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
1.1
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  1 pts + 0 reb + 0 ast

We think Jr. lands around 1. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 2 minutes, fewer than the 4 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 6.5 in 2 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
20838514060oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (6.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 0 and 2.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points0.9 ▼4.50% to score 20+
Rebounds0.2 ▼1.20% to grab 10+
Assists0.1 ▼0.70% to dish 8+
Threes0.2 ▼0.92% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Celtics 112, Pistons 110 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Celtics are 1.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 222.5 is lower-scoring than an average game (229): fewer possessions, fewer stats for everyone.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 2.1 projected (last 5 games 4.2, started 20% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread -1.5, total 222.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Ron Harper Jr. G • BOS @ DET • 3:00 PM ET BenchLESS -5.0 vs avg
1.1 PRA projected • 0.9 / 0.2 / 0.1 • boost -5.0 vs L10
Chances
0–2 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 15%10+ 4%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
2.1 proj (-2.1)
last 5 4.2 • season 10.0 • started 20% of last 5
Points / threes
0.9 pts • 0.2 3PM
L10 4.5 / 0.9 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 2%
Rebounds / assists
0.2 reb • 0.1 ast
L10 1.2 / 0.7 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
BOS implied 112.0 • spread -1.5
total 222.5 • road • rested • team shares +2%
Form (PRA, last 10)
6.4 avg • season 6.1
0 6 0 4 1 5 38 8 0 2
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 6.5: More 9%
cold: 2.2 PRA last 5 vs 6.1
1PRA
#Maliq Brown
Spurs vs Thunder • 9:30 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
1.0
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  1 pts + 0 reb + 0 ast

We think Brown lands around 1. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 2 minutes, fewer than the 12 he averaged in his last 5 preseason games (rookies play more in October). Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • No NBA games yet, so this is built from his 4 preseason games. Treat it as a rough guess.
Most nights he should land between 0 and 2.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10Chance
Points0.6-0% to score 20+
Rebounds0.3-0% to grab 10+
Assists0.1-0% to dish 8+
Threes0.1-1% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Spurs 117, Thunder 114 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Spurs are 2.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 231.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 2.0 projected (last 5 games 12.0, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread -2.5, total 231.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Maliq Brown F • SA vs OKC • 9:30 PM ET Bench
1.0 PRA projected • 0.6 / 0.3 / 0.1 • boost +0.0 vs L10
Chances
0–2 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 11%10+ 2%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
2.0 proj (-10.0)
last 5 12.0 • season 0.0 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
0.6 pts • 0.1 3PM
L10 0.0 / 0.0 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 1%
Rebounds / assists
0.3 reb • 0.1 ast
L10 0.0 / 0.0 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
SA implied 117.0 • spread -2.5
total 231.5 • home • rested • team shares -6%
Form (PRA, last 10)
0.0 avg • season 0.0
no games
PRA line no DK line
minutes down: 2 projected vs 12 last 5 (crowded rotation) · no NBA games yet: role from 4 preseason games (8.8 PRA, 12 min) -- no line to compare against
1PRA
#Isaac Jones
Pistons vs Celtics • 3:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
0.0
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  0 pts + 0 reb + 0 ast

We think Jones lands around 0. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 0 minutes, fewer than the 6 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 2.5 in 2 of his last 7 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 7 games (PRA) (last season)
5012412oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (2.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 0 and 0.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points0.0 ▼1.30% to score 20+
Rebounds0.0 ▼0.70% to grab 10+
Assists0.0 ▼0.10% to dish 8+
Threes0.00.00% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Pistons 110, Celtics 112 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Pistons are 1.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 222.5 is lower-scoring than an average game (229): fewer possessions, fewer stats for everyone.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 0.0 projected (last 5 games 6.0, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread +1.5, total 222.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Isaac Jones C • DET vs BOS • 3:00 PM ET Bench
0.0 PRA projected • 0.0 / 0.0 / 0.0 • boost -2.1 vs L10
Chances
0–0 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 0%10+ 0%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
0.0 proj (-6.0)
last 5 6.0 • season 5.1 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
0.0 pts • 0.0 3PM
L10 1.3 / 0.0 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 0%
Rebounds / assists
0.0 reb • 0.0 ast
L10 0.7 / 0.1 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
DET implied 110.5 • spread +1.5
total 222.5 • home • rested • team shares -6%
Form (PRA, last 10)
2.1 avg • season 2.1
2 1 4 2 1 0 5
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 2.5: More 4%
minutes down: 0 projected vs 6 last 5 (crowded rotation)
0PRA
#Chaz Lanier
Pistons vs Celtics • 3:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
0.0
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  0 pts + 0 reb + 0 ast

We think Lanier lands around 0. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 0 minutes, fewer than the 2 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 3.5 in 2 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
2004602201oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (3.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 0 and 0.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points0.0 ▼1.10% to score 20+
Rebounds0.0 ▼0.30% to grab 10+
Assists0.0 ▼0.30% to dish 8+
Threes0.0 ▼0.10% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Pistons 110, Celtics 112 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Pistons are 1.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 222.5 is lower-scoring than an average game (229): fewer possessions, fewer stats for everyone.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 0.0 projected (last 5 games 2.3, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread +1.5, total 222.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Chaz Lanier G • DET vs BOS • 3:00 PM ET BenchLESS -3.4 vs avg
0.0 PRA projected • 0.0 / 0.0 / 0.0 • boost -3.4 vs L10
Chances
0–0 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 2%10+ 0%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
0.0 proj (-2.3)
last 5 2.3 • season 7.5 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
0.0 pts • 0.0 3PM
L10 1.1 / 0.1 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 0%
Rebounds / assists
0.0 reb • 0.0 ast
L10 0.3 / 0.3 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
DET implied 110.5 • spread +1.5
total 222.5 • home • rested • team shares -6%
Form (PRA, last 10)
1.7 avg • season 3.4
1 0 2 2 0 6 4 0 0 2
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 3.5: More 4%
cold: 1.0 PRA last 5 vs 3.4
0PRA
#Ugonna Onyenso
Pistons vs Celtics • 3:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
0.0
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  0 pts + 0 reb + 0 ast

We think Onyenso lands around 0. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 0 minutes, fewer than the 7 he averaged in his last 5 preseason games (rookies play more in October). Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • No NBA games yet, so this is built from his 1 preseason games. Treat it as a rough guess.
Most nights he should land between 0 and 0.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10Chance
Points0.0-0% to score 20+
Rebounds0.0-0% to grab 10+
Assists0.0-0% to dish 8+
Threes0.0-0% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Pistons 110, Celtics 112 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Pistons are 1.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 222.5 is lower-scoring than an average game (229): fewer possessions, fewer stats for everyone.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 0.0 projected (last 5 games 7.0, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread +1.5, total 222.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Ugonna Onyenso C • DET vs BOS • 3:00 PM ET Bench
0.0 PRA projected • 0.0 / 0.0 / 0.0 • boost +0.0 vs L10
Chances
0–0 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 0%10+ 0%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
0.0 proj (-7.0)
last 5 7.0 • season 0.0 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
0.0 pts • 0.0 3PM
L10 0.0 / 0.0 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 0%
Rebounds / assists
0.0 reb • 0.0 ast
L10 0.0 / 0.0 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
DET implied 110.5 • spread +1.5
total 222.5 • home • rested • team shares -6%
Form (PRA, last 10)
0.0 avg • season 0.0
no games
PRA line no DK line
minutes down: 0 projected vs 7 last 5 (crowded rotation) · no NBA games yet: role from 1 preseason games (5.0 PRA, 7 min) -- no line to compare against
0PRA
#Tolu Smith
Pistons vs Celtics • 3:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
0.0
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  0 pts + 0 reb + 0 ast

We think Smith lands around 0. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 0 minutes, fewer than the 3 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 7.5 in 3 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
434014120906oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (7.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 0 and 0.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points0.0 ▼2.70% to score 20+
Rebounds0.0 ▼1.80% to grab 10+
Assists0.0 ▼0.70% to dish 8+
Threes0.00.00% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Pistons 110, Celtics 112 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Pistons are 1.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 222.5 is lower-scoring than an average game (229): fewer possessions, fewer stats for everyone.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 0.0 projected (last 5 games 3.0, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread +1.5, total 222.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Tolu Smith F • DET vs BOS • 3:00 PM ET BenchLESS -7.3 vs avg
0.0 PRA projected • 0.0 / 0.0 / 0.0 • boost -7.3 vs L10
Chances
0–0 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 10%10+ 2%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
0.0 proj (-3.0)
last 5 3.0 • season 8.4 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
0.0 pts • 0.0 3PM
L10 2.7 / 0.0 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 0%
Rebounds / assists
0.0 reb • 0.0 ast
L10 1.8 / 0.7 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
DET implied 110.5 • spread +1.5
total 222.5 • home • rested • team shares -6%
Form (PRA, last 10)
5.2 avg • season 7.3
6 0 9 0 12 14 0 4 3 4
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 7.5: More 4%
minutes down: 0 projected vs 3 last 5 (crowded rotation) · cold: 5.4 PRA last 5 vs 7.3
0PRA
#Amari Williams
Celtics @ Pistons • 3:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
0.0
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  0 pts + 0 reb + 0 ast

We think Williams lands around 0. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 0 minutes, fewer than the 6 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 3.5 in 2 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
21101311242oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (3.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 0 and 0.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points0.0 ▼0.90% to score 20+
Rebounds0.0 ▼1.40% to grab 10+
Assists0.0 ▼0.40% to dish 8+
Threes0.00.00% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Celtics 112, Pistons 110 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Celtics are 1.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 222.5 is lower-scoring than an average game (229): fewer possessions, fewer stats for everyone.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 0.0 projected (last 5 games 6.0, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread -1.5, total 222.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Amari Williams F • BOS @ DET • 3:00 PM ET BenchLESS -3.7 vs avg
0.0 PRA projected • 0.0 / 0.0 / 0.0 • boost -3.7 vs L10
Chances
0–0 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 3%10+ 0%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
0.0 proj (-6.0)
last 5 6.0 • season 6.7 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
0.0 pts • 0.0 3PM
L10 0.9 / 0.0 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 0%
Rebounds / assists
0.0 reb • 0.0 ast
L10 1.4 / 0.4 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
BOS implied 112.0 • spread -1.5
total 222.5 • road • rested • team shares +2%
Form (PRA, last 10)
2.7 avg • season 3.7
2 4 12 1 3 1 0 1 1 2
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 3.5: More 5%
minutes down: 0 projected vs 6 last 5 (crowded rotation) · hot: 4.4 PRA last 5 vs 3.7
0PRA
#Adem Bona
76ers @ Knicks • 7:00 PM ET Day-To-Day
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
0.0
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  0 pts + 0 reb + 0 ast

We think Bona lands around 0. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 0 minutes, fewer than the 7 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 10.5 in 1 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
663154011009oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (10.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 0 and 0.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points0.0 ▼3.00% to score 20+
Rebounds0.0 ▼2.30% to grab 10+
Assists0.0 ▼0.10% to dish 8+
Threes0.00.00% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: 76ers 114, Knicks 118 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The 76ers are 4.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 232.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
  • Deep roster: lots of teammates to share the ball with, so his scoring share is trimmed a little.
More details
Minutes: 0.0 projected (last 5 games 6.6, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread +4.5, total 232.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Adem Bona C • PHI @ NY • 7:00 PM ET BenchLESS -10.2 vs avgDay-To-Day
0.0 PRA projected • 0.0 / 0.0 / 0.0 • boost -10.2 vs L10
Chances
0–0 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 13%10+ 5%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
0.0 proj (-6.6)
last 5 6.6 • season 16.9 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
0.0 pts • 0.0 3PM
L10 3.0 / 0.0 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 0%
Rebounds / assists
0.0 reb • 0.0 ast
L10 2.3 / 0.1 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
PHI implied 114.0 • spread +4.5
total 232.5 • road • rested • team shares -20%
Form (PRA, last 10)
5.4 avg • season 10.2
9 0 10 1 0 4 15 3 6 6
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 10.5: More 4%
crowded offense: 114 implied points to go around (team shares -20%) · cold: 4.0 PRA last 5 vs 10.2 · Day-To-Day
0PRA
#Justin Edwards
76ers @ Knicks • 7:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
0.0
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  0 pts + 0 reb + 0 ast

We think Edwards lands around 0. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 0 minutes, fewer than the 9 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 9.5 in 4 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
20131024708010oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (9.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 0 and 0.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points0.0 ▼4.70% to score 20+
Rebounds0.0 ▼2.10% to grab 10+
Assists0.0 ▼0.60% to dish 8+
Threes0.0 ▼0.90% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: 76ers 114, Knicks 118 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The 76ers are 4.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 232.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
  • Deep roster: lots of teammates to share the ball with, so his scoring share is trimmed a little.
More details
Minutes: 0.0 projected (last 5 games 9.4, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread +4.5, total 232.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Justin Edwards F • PHI @ NY • 7:00 PM ET BenchLESS -9.2 vs avg
0.0 PRA projected • 0.0 / 0.0 / 0.0 • boost -9.2 vs L10
Chances
0–0 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 12%10+ 4%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
0.0 proj (-9.4)
last 5 9.4 • season 15.3 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
0.0 pts • 0.0 3PM
L10 4.7 / 0.9 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 0%
Rebounds / assists
0.0 reb • 0.0 ast
L10 2.1 / 0.6 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
PHI implied 114.0 • spread +4.5
total 232.5 • road • rested • team shares -20%
Form (PRA, last 10)
7.4 avg • season 9.2
10 0 8 0 7 4 2 10 13 20
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 9.5: More 4%
crowded offense: 114 implied points to go around (team shares -20%) · cold: 5.0 PRA last 5 vs 9.2
0PRA
#Jabari Walker
76ers @ Knicks • 7:00 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
0.0
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  0 pts + 0 reb + 0 ast

We think Walker lands around 0. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 0 minutes, fewer than the 5 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 6.5 in 1 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
2149130402oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (6.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 0 and 0.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points0.0 ▼1.30% to score 20+
Rebounds0.0 ▼1.20% to grab 10+
Assists0.0 ▼0.10% to dish 8+
Threes0.0 ▼0.10% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: 76ers 114, Knicks 118 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The 76ers are 4.5-point underdogs, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 232.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing on the road, fully rested.
  • Deep roster: lots of teammates to share the ball with, so his scoring share is trimmed a little.
More details
Minutes: 0.0 projected (last 5 games 5.0, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread +4.5, total 232.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Jabari Walker F • PHI @ NY • 7:00 PM ET BenchLESS -6.7 vs avg
0.0 PRA projected • 0.0 / 0.0 / 0.0 • boost -6.7 vs L10
Chances
0–0 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 9%10+ 1%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
0.0 proj (-5.0)
last 5 5.0 • season 9.8 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
0.0 pts • 0.0 3PM
L10 1.3 / 0.1 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 0%
Rebounds / assists
0.0 reb • 0.0 ast
L10 1.2 / 0.1 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
PHI implied 114.0 • spread +4.5
total 232.5 • road • rested • team shares -20%
Form (PRA, last 10)
2.6 avg • season 6.7
2 0 4 0 3 1 9 4 1 2
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 6.5: More 4%
crowded offense: 114 implied points to go around (team shares -20%) · cold: 1.8 PRA last 5 vs 6.7
0PRA
#David Jones Garcia
Spurs vs Thunder • 9:30 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
0.0
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  0 pts + 0 reb + 0 ast

We think Garcia lands around 0. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 0 minutes, fewer than the 4 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 5.5 in 3 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
265233002131oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (5.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 0 and 0.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points0.0 ▼2.70% to score 20+
Rebounds0.0 ▼1.20% to grab 10+
Assists0.0 ▼1.60% to dish 8+
Threes0.0 ▼0.30% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Spurs 117, Thunder 114 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Spurs are 2.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 231.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 0.0 projected (last 5 games 4.0, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread -2.5, total 231.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
David Jones Garcia F • SA vs OKC • 9:30 PM ET BenchLESS -5.7 vs avg
0.0 PRA projected • 0.0 / 0.0 / 0.0 • boost -5.7 vs L10
Chances
0–0 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 7%10+ 1%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
0.0 proj (-4.0)
last 5 4.0 • season 6.4 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
0.0 pts • 0.0 3PM
L10 2.7 / 0.3 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 0%
Rebounds / assists
0.0 reb • 0.0 ast
L10 1.2 / 1.6 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
SA implied 117.0 • spread -2.5
total 231.5 • home • rested • team shares -6%
Form (PRA, last 10)
5.5 avg • season 5.7
1 13 2 0 0 3 23 5 6 2
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 5.5: More 5%
minutes down: 0 projected vs 4 last 5 (crowded rotation) · cold: 3.2 PRA last 5 vs 5.7
0PRA
#Jordan McLaughlin
Spurs vs Thunder • 9:30 PM ET
NO DK LINEprojection only
Our projection
0.0
PRA = Points + Rebounds + Assists  •  0 pts + 0 reb + 0 ast

We think McLaughlin lands around 0. DraftKings has not posted a line on him, so there is nothing to compare against.

Why
  • Expected to play about 0 minutes, fewer than the 4 he averaged in his last 5 games. Fewer minutes means fewer chances to score.
  • He went over 3.5 in 6 of his last 10 games (last season).
  • No games yet this season, so this is built from last season.
His last 10 games (PRA) (last season)
3042482446oldermost recent
Orange dashed line = his recent average (3.5). Green bars went over it. Most nights he should land between 0 and 0.
Tonight's stat line
TonightLast 10 (last season)Chance
Points0.0 ▼1.90% to score 20+
Rebounds0.0 ▼0.80% to grab 10+
Assists0.0 ▼1.00% to dish 8+
Threes0.0 ▼0.30% to hit 2+
▲ / ▼ = 10%+ above or below his recent average. Chances in this table come from our model alone.
The game
  • Expected score: Spurs 117, Thunder 114 (from DraftKings' spread and total).
  • The Spurs are 2.5-point favorites, so it should be close. Starters play their normal minutes in close games.
  • Total of 231.5 is about an average-scoring game.
  • Playing at home, fully rested.
More details
Minutes: 0.0 projected (last 5 games 3.8, started 0% of them) • board grade D (on projected PRA) • spread -2.5, total 231.5 • switch to Detailed for every number
#D
Jordan McLaughlin G • SA vs OKC • 9:30 PM ET BenchLESS -3.4 vs avg
0.0 PRA projected • 0.0 / 0.0 / 0.0 • boost -3.4 vs L10
Chances
0–0 PRA (middle 50%)
5+ 2%10+ 0%
no DK line — from the model alone
Minutes
0.0 proj (-3.8)
last 5 3.8 • season 5.9 • started 0% of last 5
Points / threes
0.0 pts • 0.0 3PM
L10 1.9 / 0.3 • 20+ pts 0% • 2+ 3PM 0%
Rebounds / assists
0.0 reb • 0.0 ast
L10 0.8 / 1.0 • 10+ reb 0% • 8+ ast 0%
Environment
SA implied 117.0 • spread -2.5
total 231.5 • home • rested • team shares -6%
Form (PRA, last 10)
3.7 avg • season 3.4
6 4 4 2 8 4 2 4 0 3
PRA line no DK line • vs L10 line 3.5: More 4%
minutes down: 0 projected vs 4 last 5 (crowded rotation) · hot: 4.8 PRA last 5 vs 3.4
0PRA
#OUT
Devin Carter G • BOS @ DETOUT
Not playing • his 21 minutes a game go to teammates
Carter has been diagnosed with mononucleosis and is without a timetable for a return, Gary Washburn of The Boston Globe reports.
#OUT
Ariel Hukporti C • PHI @ NYOUT
Not playing • his 6 minutes a game go to teammates
Hukporti has sustained a season-ending ruptured right Achilles tendon, per Shams Charania of ESPN.
#OUT
Otega Oweh G • OKC @ SAOUT
Not playing • his 16 minutes a game go to teammates
Oweh (Achilles) underwent surgery Wednesday and will miss the entirety of the 2026-27 season, Brandon Rahbar of DailyThunder.com reports.

Scorecard logged at tip-off, graded the next morning

SlatePlayersPRA errBiasMin errModel / DK errMore wonLess wonBrier
2026-10-16 (pre)1906.4-3.37.0-12/1855/660.1992
2026-10-15 (pre)307.0-2.95.9--9/100.1922
2026-10-14 (pre)1096.7-3.46.9-9/1723/300.2197
2026-10-13 (pre)305.4-2.55.5--7/90.2096
Basketball Guru • paper picks only • projections are not betting advice